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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Mechelen
U T S S U
5–3
Full-time
Oostende
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 47%
48%
45%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
76%
61%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
64%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

55% Possession 45%
4 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 5. · Oostende 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 34 23 6 5 +47 75
2 Antwerp 34 19 8 7 +18 65
3 Genk 34 18 10 6 +27 64
4 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
5 Mechelen 33 16 8 9 +10 56
6 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
7 Gent 34 15 7 12 +22 52
8 Oostende 33 15 7 11 +10 52
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
10 Anderlecht 34 11 18 5 +15 51
11 Standard 34 13 9 12 +4 48
12 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
13 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 36 8 8 20 -29 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Oostende
14′
F. Sakala 0–1
R. D'Haese
Aster Vranckx 🟨
16′
17′
🟨 Jelle Bataille
30′
A. Theate 0–2
M. D'Arpino
1–2 N. Storm
F. Druijf
34′
2–2 K. Mrabti
F. Druijf
38′
Half-time 2–2
55′
🟨 Arthur Theate
60′
🔁 K. Vandendriessche
↦ N. Bätzner
Jordi Vanlerberghe ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
62′
Nikola Storm 🟨
63′
3–2 N. Storm
R. Schoofs
66′
72′
🔁 I. Boonen
↦ J. Hendry
72′
🔁 F. Jäkel
↦ A. Tanghe
81′
A. Hjulsager 3–3
F. Sakala
4–3 J. Vanlerberghe
K. Mrabti
84′
M. Shved 🔁
↦ N. Storm
85′
85′
🔁 M. Thiam
↦ A. Hjulsager
85′
🔁 T. Matam
↦ J. Bataille
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ F. Druijf
87′
O. Kaya 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
91′
5–3 I. de Camargo
O. Kaya
92′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-4-1-1
15 Y. Thoelen G
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti F
9 F. Druijf F
Bench (7)
35 M. Shved
10 I. de Camargo
8 O. Kaya
4 S. Bateau
29 I. Kaboré
26 V. Wernersson
28 A. Valkenaers

Coach: W. Vrancken

Oostende

3-5-2
28 G. Hubert G
4 J. Hendry D
33 A. Tanghe D
5 A. Theate D
17 A. Hjulsager M
6 M. D'Arpino M
25 J. Bataille M
29 R. D'Haese M
34 N. Bätzner M
21 M. Kvasina F
10 F. Sakala F
Bench (7)
26 K. Vandendriessche
11 I. Boonen
15 F. Jäkel
19 M. Thiam
20 T. Matam
99 B. Castro
7 M. Gueye

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
U
3,71
B
3,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.