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Ligue 2

Caen

U T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Chateauroux

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Chateauroux

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,8

1,0

Scored

0,3

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 11%

11%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

44%

22%

Both score Ø 28%

44%

11%

Average goals

1,9

1,3

Scored

0,6

0,2

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

17 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 6

3 Corners 2

16 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 17. · Chateauroux 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	9	7	1	1	+9	22
2	Ajaccio	9	5	2	2	+4	17
3	Lens	9	5	2	2	+3	17
4	Le Havre	9	4	4	1	+7	16
5	Troyes	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Sochaux	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Clermont	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Valenciennes	9	4	3	2	+1	15
9	Niort	9	3	4	2	+2	13
10	Auxerre	9	3	3	3	+3	12
11	Rodez	9	3	3	3	+2	12
12	Nancy	9	2	6	1	+1	12
13	Guingamp	9	3	3	3	+0	12
14	Chambly	9	3	3	3	-2	12
15	Grenoble	9	2	5	2	-1	11
16	Orleans	9	1	4	4	-3	7
17	Caen	9	1	3	5	-7	6
18	Chateauroux	9	1	3	5	-8	6
19	Le Mans	9	1	0	8	-12	3
20	Paris FC	9	0	2	7	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Rodez	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Nancy	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Lorient	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Lens	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Guingamp	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Ajaccio	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Valenciennes	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Auxerre	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Clermont	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Troyes	5	2	0	3	+0	6
12	Le Havre	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Niort	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Grenoble	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Chambly	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Le Mans	5	1	0	4	-3	3
17	Chateauroux	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Orleans	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Paris FC	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Caen	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Le Havre	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Troyes	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Clermont	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Ajaccio	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Niort	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Lens	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Chambly	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Valenciennes	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Orleans	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Grenoble	5	1	3	1	-1	6
12	Auxerre	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Caen	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sochaux	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Chateauroux	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Nancy	4	0	3	1	-3	3
18	Rodez	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Paris FC	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Le Mans	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.