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2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt
U T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Karlsruhe
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
13%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
38%
75%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

21 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
11 Corners 3
4 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 16. · Karlsruhe 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stuttgart 8 6 2 0 +7 20
2 Hamburg 8 5 2 1 +12 17
3 Bielefeld 8 4 3 1 +8 15
4 Erzgebirge Aue 8 4 2 2 +1 14
5 Heidenheim 8 3 3 2 +3 12
6 St Pauli 8 3 3 2 +2 12
7 Nurnberg 8 3 3 2 +1 12
8 Sandhausen 8 3 2 3 +0 11
9 Karlsruhe 8 3 2 3 -2 11
10 Greuther Furth 8 3 2 3 -3 11
11 Osnabruck 8 3 1 4 +2 10
12 Dresden 8 2 3 3 -4 9
13 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 +2 8
14 Holstein Kiel 8 2 2 4 -3 8
15 Hannover 8 2 2 4 -6 8
16 Darmstadt 8 1 4 3 -4 7
17 Bochum 8 0 5 3 -4 5
18 Wehen 8 1 1 6 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U ✓
3,31
B
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.