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Europa League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
Lyon
T U U U U
1–1
Full-time
Ludogorets
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 40%
57%
22%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
57%
44%
Both score Ø 45%
57%
33%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
2,1
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,30 xG 2,43
58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lyon Ludogorets
Ernest Nuamah 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. Tolisso ⚽
G. Mikautadze
54′
A. Lacazette 🔁
↦ T. Tessmann
64′
N. Matić 🔁
↦ J. Veretout
65′
71′
🟨 Erick Marcus
74′
🔁 D. Gropper
↦ A. Nedyalkov
74′
🔁 I. Chochev
↦ Caio Vidal
77′
⚽ Dinis Almeida 1–1
Rwan Cruz
N. Tagliafico 🔁
↦ Abner
78′
79′
🔁 E. Kurtulus
↦ Son
79′
🔁 G. Rusev
↦ Erick Marcus
82′
🟨 Jakub Piotrowski
S. Kumbedi 🔁
↦ E. Nuamah
84′
90′
🔁 Deroy Duarte
↦ Rwan Cruz
Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.