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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Montpellier

U S T S T

0–0

Full-time

Nice

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 47%

30%

64%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

70%

Both score Ø 34%

40%

27%

Average goals

2,9

1,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,4

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,42 xG 0,75

41% Possession 59%

9 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 12. · Nice 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nice	11	7	4	0	+9	+7.8	25
2	Paris SG	11	7	3	1	+17	+13.3	24
3	Monaco	11	7	2	2	+11	+6.3	23
4	Reims	11	6	2	3	+5	+3.1	20
5	Lille	11	5	4	2	+4	+3.7	19
6	Brest	11	4	3	4	-2	+1.1	15
7	Le Havre	11	3	5	3	-1	-6.6	14
8	Nantes	11	4	2	5	-4	-6.6	14
9	Marseille	10	3	4	3	+0	+7.9	13
10	Lens	11	3	4	4	-1	+3.7	13
11	Rennes	11	2	6	3	+1	+3.9	12
12	Montpellier	10	3	3	4	+1	+3.0	12
13	Strasbourg	11	3	3	5	-6	-3.1	12
14	Toulouse	11	2	5	4	-3	-8.2	11
15	Lorient	11	2	5	4	-5	-7.2	11
16	Metz	11	2	4	5	-8	-9.4	10
17	Clermont	10	1	3	6	-7	-6.4	6
18	Lyon	10	0	4	6	-11	-6.5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.7	15
2	Paris SG	6	4	1	1	+11	+5.5	13
3	Lille	5	4	0	1	+5	+3.7	12
4	Nice	6	3	3	0	+5	+5.0	12
5	Marseille	5	3	2	0	+6	+5.7	11
6	Rennes	6	2	3	1	+4	+5.7	9
7	Reims	5	3	0	2	+2	+4.3	9
8	Lorient	6	2	3	1	+1	-3.7	9
9	Lens	5	2	2	1	+4	+6.4	8
10	Nantes	6	2	2	2	+2	-1.9	8
11	Brest	5	2	2	1	+1	+5.0	8
12	Strasbourg	6	2	2	2	+1	+2.1	8
13	Le Havre	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.5	7
14	Toulouse	5	1	3	1	+2	-0.4	6
15	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.6	5
16	Metz	5	0	3	2	-2	-1.4	3
17	Lyon	6	0	3	3	-7	-1.9	3
18	Clermont	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nice	5	4	1	0	+4	+2.8	13
2	Paris SG	5	3	2	0	+6	+7.8	11
3	Reims	6	3	2	1	+3	-1.2	11
4	Monaco	5	2	2	1	+2	+3.6	8
5	Montpellier	6	2	1	3	+0	+0.5	7
6	Lille	6	1	4	1	-1	+0.0	7
7	Le Havre	6	1	4	1	-2	-8.1	7
8	Brest	6	2	1	3	-3	-3.8	7
9	Metz	6	2	1	3	-6	-8.0	7
10	Nantes	5	2	0	3	-6	-4.7	6
11	Clermont	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.9	5
12	Lens	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.8	5
13	Toulouse	6	1	2	3	-5	-7.8	5
14	Strasbourg	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.2	4
15	Rennes	5	0	3	2	-3	-1.8	3
16	Lorient	5	0	2	3	-6	-3.5	2
17	Marseille	5	0	2	3	-6	+2.3	2
18	Lyon	4	0	1	3	-4	-4.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.