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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

Troyes

S U T T T

2–0

Full-time

Lorient

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 57%

53%

60%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 17. · Lorient 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	13	1	1	+20	40
2	Rennes	15	8	4	3	+14	28
3	Nice	15	8	3	4	+13	27
4	Marseille	14	7	5	2	+9	26
5	Lens	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Angers	15	5	7	3	+4	22
7	Lyon	14	6	4	4	+1	22
8	Strasbourg	15	5	5	5	+6	20
9	Monaco	15	5	5	5	+1	20
10	Nantes	15	5	4	6	+0	19
11	Montpellier	15	5	4	6	-1	19
12	Brest	15	4	6	5	+0	18
13	Lille	15	4	6	5	-3	18
14	Reims	15	3	7	5	-2	16
15	Lorient	15	3	6	6	-10	15
16	Bordeaux	15	2	7	6	-10	13
17	Troyes	15	3	4	8	-10	13
18	Clermont	15	3	4	8	-12	13
19	Metz	15	2	6	7	-13	12
20	St Etienne	15	2	6	7	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Rennes	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Lens	8	4	3	1	+9	15
4	Lyon	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Marseille	8	4	3	1	+7	15
6	Strasbourg	8	4	2	2	+10	14
7	Montpellier	8	4	2	2	+5	14
8	Nantes	7	4	1	2	+4	13
9	Angers	7	4	1	2	+3	13
10	Nice	8	3	3	2	+4	12
11	Monaco	8	3	3	2	+3	12
12	Lille	7	3	3	1	+0	12
13	Lorient	7	3	2	2	+0	11
14	Brest	7	2	3	2	+3	9
15	Reims	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Clermont	7	2	2	3	-1	8
17	St Etienne	8	1	4	3	-5	7
18	Troyes	7	1	3	3	-2	6
19	Bordeaux	8	1	3	4	-4	6
20	Metz	7	0	4	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Nice	7	5	0	2	+9	15
3	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Lens	7	3	1	3	-2	10
5	Angers	8	1	6	1	+1	9
6	Rennes	7	2	3	2	+1	9
7	Brest	8	2	3	3	-3	9
8	Monaco	7	2	2	3	-2	8
9	Metz	8	2	2	4	-7	8
10	Reims	8	1	4	3	-2	7
11	Bordeaux	7	1	4	2	-6	7
12	Lyon	7	2	1	4	-6	7
13	Troyes	8	2	1	5	-8	7
14	Lille	8	1	3	4	-3	6
15	Nantes	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Strasbourg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Montpellier	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	St Etienne	7	1	2	4	-9	5
19	Clermont	8	1	2	5	-11	5
20	Lorient	8	0	4	4	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.