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2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim
S S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Ingolstadt
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Ingolstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
50%
11%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
61%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 3
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heidenheim 8. · Ingolstadt 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 19 11 4 4 +14 37
2 Darmstadt 19 11 3 5 +21 36
3 Werder Bremen 19 9 5 5 +10 32
4 Hamburg 19 7 10 2 +13 31
5 Schalke 04 18 9 3 6 +11 30
6 Paderborn 19 8 6 5 +11 30
7 Nurnberg 19 8 6 5 +5 30
8 Heidenheim 18 9 3 6 -1 30
9 Regensburg 18 8 4 6 +7 28
10 Karlsruhe 19 6 8 5 +3 26
11 Dresden 19 7 2 10 -5 23
12 Hannover 19 6 5 8 -12 23
13 Holstein Kiel 18 5 6 7 -7 21
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 5 5 9 -5 20
15 Hansa Rostock 19 5 5 9 -11 20
16 Sandhausen 18 4 5 9 -16 17
17 Erzgebirge Aue 19 3 6 10 -15 15
18 Ingolstadt 18 2 4 12 -23 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
3,85
B
5,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.