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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota
Belenenses
T T T S T
1–4
Full-time
Porto
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,3
2,7
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+2,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 50%
12%
88%
Points per game
0,6
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
29%
76%
Both score Ø 47%
35%
59%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,5
2,6
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

29% Possession 71%
4 Shots 24
2 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 3
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Belenenses 18. · Porto 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 17 15 2 0 +33 47
2 Sp Lisbon 18 15 2 1 +24 47
3 Benfica 18 13 2 3 +34 41
4 Sp Braga 18 9 5 4 +13 32
5 Gil Vicente 18 7 6 5 +6 27
6 Estoril 17 6 7 4 +4 25
7 Portimonense 17 7 3 7 +0 24
8 Guimaraes 17 6 5 6 +4 23
9 Maritimo 18 6 5 7 -4 23
10 Boavista 18 3 9 6 -8 18
11 Pacos Ferreira 18 4 6 8 -9 18
12 Tondela 18 5 2 11 -12 17
13 Santa Clara 18 4 5 9 -17 17
14 Moreirense 18 3 7 8 -9 16
15 Famalicao 18 3 7 8 -10 16
16 Vizela 18 3 7 8 -14 16
17 Arouca 17 3 5 9 -16 14
18 Belenenses 17 2 5 10 -19 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
15,58
U
6,93
B ✓
1,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,51
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Mota · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.