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Super League
Referee: A Gamaris
AEK
S U S T S
1–2
Full-time
Panetolikos
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — Super League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 45%
65%
24%
Points per game
2,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
65%
71%
Both score Ø 59%
53%
65%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 2
7 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
16 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 2. · Panetolikos 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 17 14 3 0 +20 45
2 AEK 17 11 3 3 +14 36
3 PAOK 18 11 1 6 +15 34
4 Panathinaikos 18 9 2 7 +14 29
5 Giannina 18 8 5 5 +9 29
6 OFI Crete 20 6 10 4 +2 28
7 Aris Thessalonikis 17 8 4 5 +2 28
8 Aris 17 8 4 5 +2 28
9 Asteras Tripolis 18 6 5 7 +1 23
10 Volos NFC 17 5 3 9 -5 18
11 Ionikos 19 4 5 10 -9 17
12 Panetolikos 17 4 3 10 -17 15
13 Lamia 18 3 5 10 -9 14
14 Apollon 17 1 8 8 -19 11
15 Atromitos 16 2 3 11 -20 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Oct -21 Panetolikos – AEK 1–3 6. Jan -21 AEK – Panetolikos 1–0 19. Sep -20 Panetolikos – AEK 0–2 5. Jan -20 AEK – Panetolikos 3–1 21. Sep -19 Panetolikos – AEK 0–1

Match report

AEK Panetolikos
1–0 K. Ansarifard ⚽
P. Mantalos
44′
Half-time 1–0
André Simões 🟨
56′
64′
🔁 J. Mårtensson
↦ F. Antunes
S. Zuber 🔁
↦ L. Garcia
65′
70′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ N. Vergos
70′
🔁 J. Morsay
↦ Hélder Barbosa
79′
⚽ N. Karelis 1–1
J. Mendoza
Y. Shakhov 🔁
↦ D. Le Tallec
80′
L. Rota 🔁
↦ E. Svarnas
80′
84′
⚽ J. Mendoza 1–2
N. Karelis
85′
🟨 Javier Mendoza
86′
🔁 A. Tsigaras
↦ J. Mendoza
86′
🔁 A. Malis
↦ Frederico Duarte
D. Jevtić 🔁
↦ N. Amrabat
88′
M. Kosidis 🔁
↦ André Simões
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 P. Tsintotas G
31 G. Tzavellas D
21 O. Vranješ D
5 E. Svarnas D
3 M. Mohammadi D
7 N. Amrabat M
6 D. Le Tallec M
20 P. Mantalos M
8 André Simões M
10 K. Ansarifard F
9 L. Garcia F
Bench (9)
17 S. Zuber
28 Y. Shakhov
12 L. Rota
88 D. Jevtić
35 M. Kosidis
24 G. Mitoglou
61 V. Chatziemmanouil
22 M. Tankovic
26 E. Hajsafi

Coach: A. Giannikis

Panetolikos

4-2-3-1
22 N. Melissas G
8 B. Lluy D
5 B. Vrgoč D
3 D. Houhoumis D
13 D. Cornelius D
10 Hélder Barbosa M
4 F. Antunes M
30 J. Mendoza M
20 D. Flores M
14 Frederico Duarte M
9 N. Vergos F
Bench (9)
17 J. Mårtensson
7 N. Karelis
25 J. Morsay
37 A. Tsigaras
47 A. Malis
45 M. Bakadimas
18 C. Belevonis
2 K. Apostolakis
91 G. Anestis

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,30
🔒
U
5,18
🔒
B ✓
9,49
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,81
🔒
U2,5
1,97
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Gamaris · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.