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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Strasbourg
S S S U T
2–2
Full-time
Brest
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
32%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
50%
73%
Both score Ø 48%
36%
59%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 15. · Brest 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 22 14 6 2 +22 48
2 Lyon 22 13 7 2 +26 46
3 Paris SG 22 14 3 5 +36 45
4 Monaco 22 13 3 6 +13 42
5 Rennes 21 10 6 5 +7 36
6 Metz 22 9 7 6 +7 34
7 Lens 22 10 4 8 +1 34
8 Angers 22 10 3 9 -5 33
9 Marseille 20 9 5 6 +5 32
10 Bordeaux 22 9 5 8 +2 32
11 Montpellier 22 8 4 10 -7 28
12 Reims 22 7 6 9 -1 27
13 Nice 21 7 5 9 -6 26
14 Brest 22 8 2 12 -8 26
15 Strasbourg 22 7 3 12 -4 24
16 St Etienne 22 5 7 10 -14 22
17 Nantes 22 3 9 10 -15 18
18 Lorient 21 5 3 13 -16 18
19 Dijon 22 2 9 11 -16 15
20 Nimes 21 4 3 14 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Brest
1–0 A. Thomasson
8′
Half-time 1–0
Stefan Mitrović 🟨
48′
61′
🔁 I. Cardona
↦ R. Philippoteaux
68′
🔁 R. Faivre
↦ H. Belkebla
2–0 J. Aholou
70′
L. Koné 🔁
↦ A. Thomasson
73′
M. Chahiri 🔁
↦ H. Diallo
73′
79′
🔁 G. Charbonnier
↦ S. Mounié
79′
🔁 J. Faussurier
↦ R. Pierre-Gabriel
80′
🔁 J. Le Douaron
↦ F. Honorat
83′
G. Charbonnier 2–1
K. Zohi 🔁
↦ J. Bellegarde
85′
Eiji Kawashima 🟨
87′
D. Liénard 🔁
↦ J. Aholou
89′
94′
J. Le Douaron 2–2
J. Faussurier
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1
16 E. Kawashima G
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Carole D
24 A. Djiku D
19 A. Caci D
6 J. Aholou M
26 A. Thomasson M
27 I. Sissoko M
17 J. Bellegarde M
25 L. Ajorque F
28 H. Diallo M
Bench (9)
5 L. Koné
21 M. Chahiri
20 K. Zohi
11 D. Liénard
14 S. Prcić
8 A. Waris
33 A. Ousmane
34 A. Lebeau
30 B. Kamara

Coach: T. Laurey

Brest

4-1-4-1
1 G. Larsonneur G
23 C. Hérelle D
5 B. Chardonnet D
20 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
3 L. Brassier D
8 P. Lasne M
7 H. Belkebla M
12 R. Philippoteaux M
6 Jean Lucas M
15 S. Mounié F
9 F. Honorat M
Bench (9)
14 I. Cardona
21 R. Faivre
10 G. Charbonnier
22 J. Faussurier
26 J. Le Douaron
24 L. Baal
2 J. Duverne
40 M. Hassen
27 H. Magnetti

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U ✓
3,35
B
3,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.