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Super League
Referee: E Gortsilas
Olympiakos
U S S S S
3–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,8
0,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
This season — Super League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 55%
86%
24%
Points per game
2,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
57%
52%
Both score Ø 41%
43%
38%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,5
0,9
Conceded
0,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+2,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

68% Possession 32%
16 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · OFI Crete 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 21 18 3 0 +44 57
2 AEK 21 13 4 4 +12 43
3 Panathinaikos 23 12 5 6 +11 41
4 PAOK 22 11 7 4 +18 40
5 Aris Thessalonikis 20 12 3 5 +12 39
6 Aris 20 12 3 5 +12 39
7 Asteras Tripolis 23 11 6 6 +2 39
8 Atromitos 22 6 8 8 -7 26
9 Volos NFC 23 5 9 9 -11 24
10 Giannina 22 4 8 10 -5 20
11 Apollon 22 5 4 13 -9 19
12 OFI Crete 21 5 4 12 -16 19
13 Lamia 20 3 5 12 -20 14
14 Panetolikos 21 2 7 12 -19 13
15 Larisa 21 1 6 14 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos OFI Crete
13′
🟨 Abdul Rahman Wes
1–0 Y. M'Vila
M. Valbuena
19′
Athanasios Androutsos 🟨
24′
2–0 G. Masouras
M. Valbuena
37′
K. Fortounis 🔁
↦ Bruma
40′
Half-time 2–0
Oleg Reabciuk 🟨
50′
Giorgos Masouras 🟨
52′
62′
🔁 T. Mingos
↦ A. Diamantis
62′
🔁 Adrián Sardinero
↦ A. Gargalatzidis
62′
🔁 K. Giannoulis
↦ N. Korovesis
S. Papastathopoulos 🔁
↦ O. Ba
64′
Tiago Silva 🔁
↦ M. Valbuena
64′
3–0 Y. El-Arabi
K. Fortounis
68′
Koka 🔁
↦ Y. El-Arabi
70′
L. Ranđelović 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
70′
78′
🔁 L. Castaignos
↦ Sturgeon
78′
🔁 J. de Guzmán
↦ N. Vafeas
79′
🟨 Vahid Selimović
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 José Sá G
3 Rúben Semedo D
45 O. Reabciuk D
24 O. Ba D
28 M. Valbuena M
6 Y. M'Vila M
19 G. Masouras M
14 T. Androutsos D
4 Mohamed Camara M
11 Y. El-Arabi F
27 Bruma M
Bench (9)
7 K. Fortounis
15 S. Papastathopoulos
8 Tiago Silva
9 Koka
97 L. Ranđelović
72 K. Lala
31 Ö. Kristinsson
5 A. Bouchalakis
20 H. Cuypers

Coach: Pedro Martins

OFI Crete

5-4-1
24 B. Waterman G
5 V. Selimovic D
13 N. Vafeas D
15 A. Diamantis D
2 A. Oues
3 O. Lymperakis D
7 Sturgeon M
34 N. Korovesis D
26 P. Staikos M
28 F. Grivas M
23 A. Gargalatzidis F
Bench (9)
38 T. Mingos
22 Adrián Sardinero
18 K. Giannoulis
30 L. Castaignos
33 J. de Guzmán
11 N. Solís
49 G. Sournakis
32 D. Sotiriou
6 N. Marinakis

Coach: G. Simos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,22
B
10,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Gortsilas · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
34,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.