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Süper Lig
Referee: Burak Seker
Ankaragücü
T T S T T
1–4
Full-time
Sivasspor
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
23%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
48%
41%
Both score Ø 56%
52%
59%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 2
17 Free kicks against 10
6 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 20. · Sivasspor 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 23 15 3 5 +29 48
2 Fenerbahce 23 15 3 5 +20 48
3 Besiktas 22 14 3 5 +23 45
4 Alanyaspor 23 12 5 6 +17 41
5 Trabzonspor 22 11 6 5 +4 39
6 Hatayspor 23 11 5 7 +10 38
7 Karagumruk 23 10 7 6 +7 37
8 Gaziantep 22 9 8 5 +7 35
9 Antalyaspor 23 7 10 6 -5 31
10 Yeni Malatyaspor 22 7 8 7 +1 29
11 Goztep 22 6 8 8 +4 26
12 Rizespor 23 6 8 9 -10 26
13 Kasimpasa 23 7 5 11 -11 26
14 Sivasspor 22 5 10 7 -6 25
15 Konyaspor 21 6 6 9 +0 24
16 Kayserispor 23 6 6 11 -11 24
17 Buyuksehyr 23 6 6 11 -14 24
18 Erzurumspor 23 5 7 11 -15 22
19 Genclerbirligi 22 5 5 12 -21 20
20 Ankaragücü 21 5 3 13 -10 18
21 Denizlispor 23 4 6 13 -19 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Sivasspor
11′
M. Gradel 0–1
İbrahim Akdağ 🟨
20′
22′
ℹ️ Max Gradel
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–1
Ş. Çetin 🔁
↦ İ. Akdağ
46′
S. Kitsiou 🔁
↦ M. Pazdan
46′
46′
🔁 E. Yeşilyurt
↦ T. Boyd
48′
O. Kayode 0–2
F. Fajr
Stelios Kitsiou 🟨
55′
Tiago Pinto 🟨
58′
58′
🟨 Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Aliou Badji 🟨
60′
T. Børven 🔁
↦ A. Badji
61′
Geraldo 🔁
↦ A. Potuk
61′
O. Çınar 🔁
↦ E. Güral
61′
61′
🔁 M. Yatabaré
↦ O. Kayode
0–3 A. Oğuz
own goal
66′
69′
E. Yeşilyurt 0–4
M. Gradel
Şahverdi Çetin 🟨
72′
Atakan Cankaya 🟨
77′
85′
🔁 A. Okumuş
↦ A. Oğuz
86′
M. Yatabaré 0–5
E. Yeşilyurt
88′
ℹ️ Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
VAR: Penalty confirmed
90′
🔁 A. Koné
↦ M. Gradel
91′
🔁 K. Kesgin
↦ F. Fajr
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-1-4-1
1 K. Çelikay G
2 M. Pazdan D
8 Tiago Pinto D
4 E. Dikmen D
20 A. Potuk M
24 İ. Akdağ M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
42 I. Voca M
6 A. Çankaya D
77 E. Güral M
27 A. Badji F
Bench (10)
18 Ş. Çetin
70 S. Kitsiou
22 T. Børven
29 Geraldo
10 O. Çınar
13 A. Kulusic
16 A. Güneren
33 A. Çelik
25 Ricardo Friedrich
14 A. Dioussé

Coach: N. Erkmen

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
25 M. Yıldırım G
3 U. Çiftçi D
14 S. Camara D
77 A. Oğuz D
37 H. Arslan M
76 F. Fajr M
5 I. Cofie M
8 R. Yalçın D
7 M. Gradel M
80 O. Kayode F
99 T. Boyd M
Bench (9)
17 E. Yeşilyurt
9 M. Yatabaré
15 A. Okumuş
20 K. Kesgin
2 A. Koné
35 A. Vural
29 C. Ninga
11 Jorge Félix
30 M. Samassa

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,94
U
3,30
B ✓
2,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.