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Serie A

Referee: G Aureliano

Benevento

S T T U T

1–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

30%

40%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

55%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

55%

70%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

9 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 10

1 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benevento 13. · Sampdoria 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	21	14	5	2	+28	47
2	Milan	20	14	4	2	+18	46
3	Juventus	20	12	6	2	+23	42
4	Roma	21	12	4	5	+9	40
5	Napoli	20	12	1	7	+23	37
6	Atalanta	21	10	7	4	+19	37
7	Lazio	20	11	4	5	+8	37
8	Sassuolo	21	8	7	6	+2	31
9	Verona	20	8	6	6	+5	30
10	Sampdoria	20	8	2	10	-1	26
11	Genoa	21	6	6	9	-7	24
12	Fiorentina	21	5	7	9	-12	22
13	Benevento	20	6	4	10	-17	22
14	Udinese	20	5	6	9	-7	21
15	Spezia	21	5	6	10	-10	21
16	Bologna	20	5	5	10	-10	20
17	Torino	21	2	10	9	-9	16
18	Cagliari	20	3	6	11	-14	15
19	Parma	20	2	7	11	-24	13
20	Crotone	20	3	3	14	-24	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	11	8	3	0	+15	27
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	+16	25
3	Juventus	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Napoli	10	6	1	3	+17	19
5	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+10	18
6	Milan	10	5	3	2	+5	18
7	Verona	10	5	2	3	+5	17
8	Lazio	10	5	2	3	+2	17
9	Fiorentina	11	4	4	3	+0	16
10	Bologna	10	4	2	4	-1	14
11	Genoa	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Sampdoria	10	4	1	5	+1	13
13	Sassuolo	10	3	4	3	+0	13
14	Crotone	10	3	1	6	-7	10
15	Udinese	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Cagliari	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Benevento	10	2	3	5	-9	9
18	Parma	10	1	4	5	-12	7
19	Torino	10	0	6	4	-5	6
20	Spezia	10	1	3	6	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	10	9	1	0	+13	28
2	Inter	11	6	4	1	+12	22
3	Lazio	10	6	2	2	+6	20
4	Juventus	10	5	4	1	+11	19
5	Atalanta	10	5	4	1	+9	19
6	Napoli	10	6	0	4	+6	18
7	Sassuolo	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	Spezia	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Verona	10	3	4	3	+0	13
10	Sampdoria	10	4	1	5	-2	13
11	Roma	10	4	1	5	-6	13
12	Benevento	10	4	1	5	-8	13
13	Udinese	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Torino	11	2	4	5	-4	10
15	Genoa	10	2	4	4	-6	10
16	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-8	6
17	Bologna	10	1	3	6	-9	6
18	Parma	10	1	3	6	-12	6
19	Fiorentina	10	1	3	6	-12	6
20	Crotone	10	0	2	8	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.