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Süper Lig

Referee: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu

Erzurumspor

T S U S U

1–1

Full-time

Kayserispor

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 25%

23%

27%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

55%

27%

Both score Ø 46%

55%

36%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzurumspor 18. · Kayserispor 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	23	15	3	5	+29	48
2	Fenerbahce	23	15	3	5	+20	48
3	Besiktas	22	14	3	5	+23	45
4	Alanyaspor	23	12	5	6	+17	41
5	Trabzonspor	22	11	6	5	+4	39
6	Hatayspor	23	11	5	7	+10	38
7	Karagumruk	23	10	7	6	+7	37
8	Gaziantep	22	9	8	5	+7	35
9	Antalyaspor	22	7	9	6	-5	30
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	22	7	8	7	+1	29
11	Goztep	22	6	8	8	+4	26
12	Rizespor	23	6	8	9	-10	26
13	Kasimpasa	23	7	5	11	-11	26
14	Sivasspor	22	5	10	7	-6	25
15	Konyaspor	21	6	6	9	+0	24
16	Buyuksehyr	23	6	6	11	-14	24
17	Kayserispor	22	6	5	11	-11	23
18	Erzurumspor	22	5	6	11	-15	21
19	Genclerbirligi	22	5	5	12	-21	20
20	Ankaragücü	21	5	3	13	-10	18
21	Denizlispor	22	4	5	13	-19	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	12	9	2	1	+18	29
2	Besiktas	11	8	1	2	+19	25
3	Galatasaray	11	7	3	1	+21	24
4	Karagumruk	11	7	2	2	+10	23
5	Gaziantep	11	6	4	1	+9	22
6	Fenerbahce	12	7	1	4	+6	22
7	Yeni Malatyaspor	11	5	4	2	+6	19
8	Rizespor	11	5	4	2	+3	19
9	Trabzonspor	11	6	1	4	+1	19
10	Hatayspor	11	5	3	3	+6	18
11	Antalyaspor	11	5	3	3	-1	18
12	Kasimpasa	12	5	2	5	-4	17
13	Goztep	11	4	4	3	+8	16
14	Konyaspor	11	4	4	3	+4	16
15	Buyuksehyr	12	3	5	4	-2	14
16	Ankaragücü	10	4	1	5	+1	13
17	Kayserispor	11	3	3	5	-4	12
18	Genclerbirligi	11	3	3	5	-5	12
19	Sivasspor	11	2	5	4	-3	11
20	Erzurumspor	11	1	5	5	-6	8
21	Denizlispor	11	2	2	7	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	11	8	2	1	+14	26
2	Galatasaray	12	8	0	4	+8	24
3	Besiktas	11	6	2	3	+4	20
4	Hatayspor	12	6	2	4	+4	20
5	Trabzonspor	11	5	5	1	+3	20
6	Karagumruk	12	3	5	4	-3	14
7	Sivasspor	11	3	5	3	-3	14
8	Gaziantep	11	3	4	4	-2	13
9	Erzurumspor	11	4	1	6	-9	13
10	Alanyaspor	11	3	3	5	-1	12
11	Antalyaspor	11	2	6	3	-4	12
12	Kayserispor	11	3	2	6	-7	11
13	Goztep	11	2	4	5	-4	10
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	11	2	4	5	-5	10
15	Buyuksehyr	11	3	1	7	-12	10
16	Kasimpasa	11	2	3	6	-7	9
17	Denizlispor	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Konyaspor	10	2	2	6	-4	8
19	Genclerbirligi	11	2	2	7	-16	8
20	Rizespor	12	1	4	7	-13	7
21	Ankaragücü	11	1	2	8	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.