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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Lille
T S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Strasbourg
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
12 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 6. · Strasbourg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 6 5 0 1 +10 15
2 Angers 6 4 0 2 +3 12
3 Marseille 7 3 3 1 +1 12
4 Nice 7 4 0 3 +0 12
5 Rennes 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 Lille 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Nantes 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Bordeaux 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Lyon 6 2 2 2 +7 8
10 Reims 6 2 2 2 +2 8
11 Nimes 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Montpellier 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Toulouse 6 2 2 2 -2 8
14 Amiens 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Brest 6 1 4 1 -2 7
16 Strasbourg 6 1 3 2 -2 6
17 Monaco 7 1 3 3 -5 6
18 St Etienne 6 1 2 3 -6 5
19 Metz 6 1 1 4 -5 4
20 Dijon 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Strasbourg
1–0 V. Osimhen
43′
45′
🟨 Ibrahima Sissoko
Half-time 2–0
2–0 L. Rémy
V. Osimhen
64′
65′
🔁 L. Ajorque
↦ I. Sissoko
B. André 🔁
↦ Xeka
72′
74′
🔁 S. Prcić
↦ L. Koné
Reinildo 🔁
↦ L. Rémy
76′
78′
🔁 Nuno Da Costa
↦ B. Corgnet
B. Soumaré 🔁
↦ Y. Yazıcı
81′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lille

4-4-2
16 M. Maignan G
5 A. Soumaoro D
17 M. Çelik D
4 Gabriel D
29 D. Bradarić D
18 Renato Sanches M
8 Xeka M
10 J. Ikoné M
12 Y. Yazıcı M
9 L. Rémy F
7 V. Osimhen F
Bench (7)
21 B. André
28 Reinildo
24 B. Soumaré
11 Luiz Araujo
14 J. Bamba
6 José Fonte
1 Léo Jardim

Coach: C. Galtier

Strasbourg

3-5-1-1
1 M. Sels G
5 L. Koné D
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Carole M
24 A. Djiku D
2 M. Simakan M
10 B. Corgnet F
11 D. Liénard M
18 I. Sissoko M
17 J. Bellegarde M
12 L. Mothiba F
Bench (7)
25 L. Ajorque
14 S. Prcić
29 Nuno Da Costa
30 B. Kamara
33 I. Aaneba
6 J. Grimm
3 A. N'Dour

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,45
B
4,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.