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Copa del Rey
Referee: Pablo González
UD Logroñés
S U
0–1
Full-time
Sociedad
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

UD Logroñés Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
1,5
4,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
4 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match UD Logroñés 25. · Sociedad 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Levante 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Sp Gijon 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Espanol 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Ceuta 3 3 0 0 +3 9
6 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +8 6
7 Mallorca 2 2 0 0 +7 6
8 Celta 3 2 0 1 +6 6
9 Valladolid 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Osasuna 2 2 0 0 +5 6
11 Elche 3 2 0 1 +5 6
12 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Cacereño 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Pontevedra 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Gimnastic 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 Intercity 2 2 0 0 +3 6
20 Getafe 3 2 0 1 +2 6
21 Oviedo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
22 Linares Deportivo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
23 Alaves 2 2 0 0 +2 6
24 Albacete 2 1 1 0 +3 4
25 UD Logroñés 2 1 1 0 +2 4
26 Eldense 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Saguntino 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Las Palmas 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Vallecano 3 1 1 1 +0 4
30 La Nucía 3 1 1 1 -1 4
31 Cartagena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
32 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Ibiza 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Guijuelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Granada 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Girona 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Real Unión 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Arenteiro 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Sestao River 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Numancia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Diocesano 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Cazalegas 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Arenas Getxo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 CD Coria 2 1 0 1 -3 3
57 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
58 Alcorcon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
59 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Malaga 2 0 1 1 -1 1
71 Mérida AD 2 0 1 1 -1 1
72 Atlético Paso 2 0 1 1 -1 1
73 Burgos 2 0 1 1 -1 1
74 Arnedo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
75 Juventud Torremolinos 2 0 1 1 -3 1
76 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
77 Gernika 2 0 1 1 -3 1
78 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
79 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Santander 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
115 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
116 Alzira 1 0 0 1 -2 0
117 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
121 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
122 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
123 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

UD Logroñés Sociedad
33′
⚽ Robert Navarro 0–1
Illarramendi
Half-time 0–1
Iñaki Sáenz 🟨
46′
52′
🟨 Aihen Muñoz
Sergio López 🔁
↦ Titi Fernández
64′
Aitor Arregi 🔁
↦ Joan Campins
64′
Xavi Boniquet 🔁
↦ Jaime Sierra
64′
65′
🔁 Diego Rico
↦ Aihen Muñoz
65′
🔁 Martín Zubimendi
↦ Mikel Merino
Carlos Doncel Ordonez 🟨
72′
74′
🟨 Alexander Sørloth
Martínez-Losa 🔁
↦ Z. Thior
77′
81′
🔁 Pablo Marín
↦ Illarramendi
82′
🔁 Mikel Oyarzabal
↦ A. Sørloth
Dani Pichín 🔁
↦ Carlos Doncel
87′
87′
🔁 Elustondo
↦ Gorosabel
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

UD Logroñés

4-2-3-1
24 G. Crettaz G
2 Joan Campins D
4 Titi Fernández D
19 David Fernández D
16 Iñaki D
25 B. Keita M
15 Markel Lozano M
11 Z. Thior M
8 Jaime Sierra M
7 Carlos Doncel M
10 Menudo F
Bench (11)
33 Sergio López
6 Aitor Arregi
23 Xavi Boniquet
20 Martínez-Losa
21 Dani Pichín
31 Marcos Olguín
34 Noé
27 Miki Codina
30 Álex Daza
26 Curro Bonilla
3 Mikel Kortazar

Coach: Natxo González

Sociedad

4-1-3-2
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Gorosabel D
24 R. Le Normand D
20 Jon Pacheco D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
4 Illarramendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
23 Brais Méndez M
16 Guevara M
19 A. Sørloth F
17 Robert Navarro F
Bench (11)
15 Diego Rico
3 Martín Zubimendi
42 Pablo Marín
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
6 Elustondo
7 Barrenetxea
21 David Silva
28 Ander Martín
5 Zubeldia
33 Jon Karrikaburu
13 Andoni Zubiaurre

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.