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Serie A
Referee: F Dionisi
Empoli
S T T S T
2–0
Full-time
Cremonese
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 11%
21%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
29%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 14. · Cremonese 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 14 12 2 0 +24 38
2 Lazio 14 9 3 2 +18 30
3 Milan 14 9 3 2 +13 30
4 Juventus 14 8 4 2 +14 28
5 Inter 14 9 0 5 +11 27
6 Atalanta 14 8 3 3 +8 27
7 Roma 14 8 2 4 +4 26
8 Udinese 14 6 6 2 +8 24
9 Torino 14 6 2 6 -1 20
10 Fiorentina 14 5 4 5 -1 19
11 Salernitana 14 4 5 5 -2 17
12 Sassuolo 14 4 4 6 -4 16
13 Bologna 14 4 4 6 -8 16
14 Empoli 14 3 5 6 -9 14
15 Monza 14 4 1 9 -9 13
16 Lecce 14 2 6 6 -5 12
17 Spezia 14 2 4 8 -13 10
18 Cremonese 14 0 7 7 -13 7
19 Sampdoria 14 1 3 10 -19 6
20 Verona 14 1 2 11 -16 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Cremonese
43′
🟨 Soualiho Meïté
Half-time 0–0
N. Cambiaghi 🔁
↦ S. Lammers
46′
1–0 N. Cambiaghi
46′
62′
🔁 M. Castagnetti
↦ S. Ascacíbar
62′
🔁 L. Zanimacchia
↦ S. Meïté
R. Marin 🔁
↦ A. Grassi
66′
J. Fazzini 🔁
↦ J. Akpa Akpro
66′
Nicolò Cambiaghi 🟨
69′
69′
🔁 G. Quagliata
↦ E. Valeri
69′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ C. Buonaiuto
L. Henderson 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
77′
78′
🔁 D. Ciofani
↦ L. Lochoshvili
K. De Winter 🔁
↦ M. Satriano
85′
2–0 F. Parisi
88′
90′
🟨 Charles Pickel
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
24 T. Ebuehi D
34 A. Ismajli D
4 S. Walukiewicz D
65 F. Parisi D
11 J. Akpa Akpro M
5 A. Grassi M
25 F. Bandinelli M
10 N. Bajrami M
7 S. Lammers F
9 M. Satriano
Bench (14)
28 N. Cambiaghi
18 R. Marin
21 J. Fazzini
8 L. Henderson
6 K. De Winter
20 D. Degli Innocenti
22 S. Ujkani
30 P. Stojanović
36 G. Guarino
32 N. Haas
14 M. Pjaca
3 L. Cacace
17 E. Ekong
1 S. Perisan

Coach: P. Zanetti

Cremonese

3-5-2
12 M. Carnesecchi G
4 E. Aiwu D
2 J. Hendry D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
17 L. Sernicola M
6 C. Pickel M
8 S. Ascacíbar M
28 S. Meïté M
3 E. Valeri M
77 D. Okereke F
10 C. Buonaiuto F
Bench (15)
19 M. Castagnetti
98 L. Zanimacchia
33 G. Quagliata
90 C. Dessers
9 D. Ciofani
62 T. Milanese
74 F. Tsadjout
32 G. Escalante
5 J. Vásquez
7 J. Báez
45 M. Sarr
13 G. Saro
15 M. Bianchetti
18 P. Ghiglione
20 F. Afena-Gyan

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,52
U
3,33
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.