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Serie A
Referee: D Paterna
Empoli
S U T S U
3–1
Full-time
Udinese
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
73%
47%
Both score Ø 60%
67%
53%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 19
9 Shots on target 8
7 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 12. · Udinese 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 16 12 2 2 +17 38
2 Inter 16 11 4 1 +24 37
3 Napoli 16 11 3 2 +22 36
4 Atalanta 16 10 4 2 +16 34
5 Juventus 16 8 3 5 +6 27
6 Fiorentina 16 9 0 7 +5 27
7 Roma 16 8 1 7 +5 25
8 Lazio 16 7 4 5 +2 25
9 Bologna 16 7 3 6 -4 24
10 Verona 16 6 5 5 +4 23
11 Sassuolo 16 5 5 6 +1 20
12 Empoli 15 6 2 7 -5 20
13 Torino 15 5 3 7 +3 18
14 Udinese 15 3 7 5 -4 16
15 Sampdoria 16 4 3 9 -10 15
16 Venezia 16 4 3 9 -14 15
17 Spezia 16 3 3 10 -19 12
18 Genoa 16 1 7 8 -14 10
19 Cagliari 15 1 6 8 -13 9
20 Salernitana 16 2 2 12 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Udinese
Fabiano Parisi 🟨
9′
22′
Deulofeu 0–1
I. Success
30′
🟨 Samir
41′
🟨 Brandon Soppy
Half-time 0–1
Szymon Żurkowski 🟨
47′
1–1 P. Stojanović
S. Ricci
49′
55′
🔁 M. Jajalo
↦ B. Soppy
55′
🔁 B. Nuytinck
↦ Samir
2–1 N. Bajrami
59′
65′
🔁 I. Pussetto
↦ T. Arslan
S. Romagnoli 🔁
↦ M. Viti
66′
Simone Romagnoli 🟨
67′
L. Štulac 🔁
↦ S. Ricci
72′
3–1 A. Pinamonti
N. Bajrami
78′
79′
🔁 L. Samardžić
↦ N. Pérez
79′
🔁 I. Nestorovski
↦ I. Success
F. Bandinelli 🔁
↦ S. Żurkowski
81′
L. Henderson 🔁
↦ N. Bajrami
82′
S. Luperto 🔁
↦ N. Haas
82′
84′
🟨 Ilija Nestorovski
Lorenzo Tonelli 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
26 L. Tonelli D
30 P. Stojanović D
65 F. Parisi D
42 M. Viti D
32 N. Haas M
10 N. Bajrami M
27 S. Żurkowski M
28 S. Ricci M
9 P. Cutrone F
99 A. Pinamonti F
Bench (12)
6 S. Romagnoli
5 L. Štulac
25 F. Bandinelli
8 L. Henderson
33 S. Luperto
20 R. Fiamozzi
3 R. Marchizza
34 A. Ismajli
19 A. La Mantia
7 L. Mancuso
1 S. Ujkani
11 F. Di Francesco

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Udinese

4-4-2
1 M. Silvestri G
87 S. De Maio D
3 Samir D
2 N. Pérez D
93 B. Soppy M
13 D. Udogie D
5 T. Arslan M
6 J. Makengo M
10 Deulofeu M
7 I. Success F
9 Beto F
Bench (9)
8 M. Jajalo
17 B. Nuytinck
23 I. Pussetto
24 L. Samardžić
30 I. Nestorovski
65 M. Carnelos
45 F. Forestieri
20 D. Padelli
4 M. Zeegelaar

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
U
3,39
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Paterna · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.