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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Cremonese
T U U U T
0–1
Full-time
Juventus
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
47%
33%
Both score Ø 37%
53%
20%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 19. · Juventus 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 15 13 2 0 +25 41
2 Milan 16 11 3 2 +15 36
3 Juventus 15 9 4 2 +17 31
4 Lazio 16 9 3 4 +14 30
5 Inter 15 10 0 5 +12 30
6 Roma 16 9 3 4 +5 30
7 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 +7 28
8 Udinese 15 6 6 3 +7 24
9 Torino 16 6 4 6 -1 22
10 Fiorentina 15 5 4 6 -2 19
11 Bologna 16 5 4 7 -6 19
12 Lecce 16 4 6 6 -2 18
13 Salernitana 16 4 5 7 -6 17
14 Empoli 15 4 5 6 -7 17
15 Monza 15 5 1 9 -6 16
16 Sassuolo 16 4 4 8 -8 16
17 Spezia 16 3 5 8 -12 14
18 Sampdoria 16 2 3 11 -20 9
19 Cremonese 15 0 7 8 -15 7
20 Verona 16 1 3 12 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Juventus
Half-time 0–0
Alex Ferrari 🟨
55′
55′
🔁 M. Kean
↦ N. Fagioli
55′
🔁 F. Chiesa
↦ M. Soulé
C. Buonaiuto 🔁
↦ D. Okereke
59′
J. Hendry 🔁
↦ A. Ferrari
59′
66′
🔁 L. Paredes
↦ F. Miretti
Cyriel Dessers 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 A. Rabiot
↦ W. McKennie
Soualiho Meïté 🟨
70′
71′
🟨 Bremer
71′
🟨 Adrien Rabiot
F. Afena-Gyan 🔁
↦ C. Dessers
75′
T. Milanese 🔁
↦ M. Castagnetti
75′
85′
🔁 S. Iling-Junior
↦ F. Kostić
Emanuele Valeri 🟨
89′
91′
A. Milik 0–1
D. Ciofani 🔁
↦ M. Bianchetti
92′
Luka Lochoshvili 🟨
93′
95′
🟨 Moise Kean
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-4-1-2
12 M. Carnesecchi G
24 A. Ferrari D
15 M. Bianchetti D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
17 L. Sernicola M
28 S. Meïté M
19 M. Castagnetti M
3 E. Valeri M
6 C. Pickel F
77 D. Okereke F
90 C. Dessers F
Bench (12)
10 C. Buonaiuto
2 J. Hendry
20 F. Afena-Gyan
62 T. Milanese
9 D. Ciofani
18 P. Ghiglione
98 L. Zanimacchia
45 M. Sarr
4 E. Aiwu
74 F. Tsadjout
33 G. Quagliata
13 G. Saro

Coach: M. Alvini

Juventus

3-5-1-1
1 W. Szczęsny G
15 F. Gatti D
3 Bremer D
6 Danilo D
30 M. Soulé M
44 N. Fagioli M
5 M. Locatelli M
8 W. McKennie M
17 F. Kostić M
20 F. Miretti F
14 A. Milik F
Bench (11)
18 M. Kean
7 F. Chiesa
32 L. Paredes
25 A. Rabiot
43 S. Iling-Junior
36 M. Perin
42 T. Barbieri
12 Alex Sandro
24 D. Rugani
23 C. Pinsoglio
45 E. Barrenechea

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,14
U
3,81
B ✓
1,70
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.