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Serie A

Referee: L Marinelli

Genoa

U S T T S

3–4

Full-time

Atalanta

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 43%

25%

61%

Points per game

1,1

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

53%

61%

Both score Ø 63%

61%

64%

Average goals

2,7

3,6

Scored

1,2

2,4

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 14. · Atalanta 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	36	27	7	2	+51	88
2	Atalanta	36	22	9	5	+44	75
3	Milan	36	23	6	7	+31	75
4	Napoli	36	23	4	9	+43	73
5	Juventus	36	21	9	6	+35	72
6	Lazio	35	21	4	10	+10	67
7	Roma	36	17	7	12	+8	58
8	Sassuolo	36	15	11	10	+4	56
9	Sampdoria	36	13	7	16	-6	46
10	Verona	36	11	10	15	-2	43
11	Bologna	36	10	10	16	-11	40
12	Udinese	36	10	10	16	-11	40
13	Fiorentina	36	9	12	15	-10	39
14	Genoa	36	9	12	15	-11	39
15	Cagliari	36	9	9	18	-15	36
16	Torino	35	7	14	14	-16	35
17	Spezia	36	8	11	17	-23	35
18	Benevento	36	7	10	19	-35	31
19	Crotone	36	6	3	27	-47	21
20	Parma	36	3	11	22	-39	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	18	16	1	1	+31	49
2	Juventus	18	13	2	3	+21	41
3	Lazio	18	13	2	3	+13	41
4	Roma	18	12	4	2	+22	40
5	Napoli	18	12	3	3	+30	39
6	Atalanta	18	12	3	3	+27	39
7	Milan	18	8	5	5	+7	29
8	Sampdoria	18	8	3	7	+3	27
9	Bologna	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Sassuolo	18	6	8	4	+2	26
11	Fiorentina	18	6	6	6	+2	24
12	Verona	18	6	5	7	+0	23
13	Genoa	18	5	7	6	+0	22
14	Udinese	18	5	4	9	-4	19
15	Cagliari	18	5	4	9	-9	19
16	Spezia	17	4	6	7	-8	18
17	Torino	18	3	8	7	-11	17
18	Crotone	18	5	1	12	-12	16
19	Benevento	18	2	6	10	-20	12
20	Parma	18	2	5	11	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	18	15	1	2	+24	46
2	Inter	18	11	6	1	+20	39
3	Atalanta	18	10	6	2	+17	36
4	Napoli	18	11	1	6	+13	34
5	Juventus	18	8	7	3	+14	31
6	Sassuolo	18	9	3	6	+2	30
7	Lazio	17	8	2	7	-3	26
8	Udinese	18	5	6	7	-7	21
9	Verona	18	5	5	8	-2	20
10	Sampdoria	18	5	4	9	-9	19
11	Benevento	18	5	4	9	-15	19
12	Torino	17	4	6	7	-5	18
13	Roma	18	5	3	10	-14	18
14	Cagliari	18	4	5	9	-6	17
15	Genoa	18	4	5	9	-11	17
16	Spezia	19	4	5	10	-15	17
17	Fiorentina	18	3	6	9	-12	15
18	Bologna	18	3	5	10	-14	14
19	Parma	18	1	6	11	-18	9
20	Crotone	18	1	2	15	-35	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.