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Serie A

Referee: M Di Bello

Atalanta

U S T U S

4–2

Full-time

Napoli

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 22/21 matches

Win Ø 56%

50%

62%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

68%

62%

Both score Ø 58%

68%

48%

Average goals

3,5

3,1

Scored

2,2

2,1

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 2

20 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 7. · Napoli 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	23	16	5	2	+33	53
2	Milan	23	15	4	4	+17	49
3	Roma	22	13	4	5	+12	43
4	Lazio	23	13	4	6	+8	43
5	Juventus	21	12	6	3	+22	42
6	Napoli	21	13	1	7	+24	40
7	Atalanta	22	11	7	4	+20	40
8	Sassuolo	23	9	8	6	+3	35
9	Verona	23	9	7	7	+4	34
10	Sampdoria	23	9	3	11	-1	30
11	Genoa	23	6	8	9	-7	26
12	Bologna	23	6	7	10	-7	25
13	Udinese	23	6	7	10	-8	25
14	Fiorentina	23	6	7	10	-10	25
15	Spezia	23	6	6	11	-11	24
16	Benevento	22	6	6	10	-17	24
17	Torino	23	3	11	9	-8	20
18	Cagliari	23	3	6	14	-17	15
19	Parma	23	2	8	13	-28	14
20	Crotone	22	3	3	16	-29	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	12	9	3	0	+18	30
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	+18	28
3	Juventus	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Lazio	12	7	2	3	+4	23
5	Napoli	11	7	1	3	+18	22
6	Milan	12	6	3	3	+6	21
7	Verona	11	6	2	3	+6	20
8	Fiorentina	12	5	4	3	+3	19
9	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+10	18
10	Sampdoria	11	5	1	5	+2	16
11	Bologna	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Genoa	12	4	3	5	-1	15
13	Sassuolo	11	3	5	3	+0	14
14	Udinese	11	3	3	5	-3	12
15	Crotone	11	3	1	7	-8	10
16	Benevento	11	2	4	5	-9	10
17	Spezia	11	2	3	6	-7	9
18	Cagliari	12	2	3	7	-8	9
19	Parma	12	1	5	6	-15	8
20	Torino	11	0	7	4	-5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	11	9	1	1	+11	28
2	Inter	12	7	4	1	+15	25
3	Atalanta	11	6	4	1	+10	22
4	Sassuolo	12	6	3	3	+3	21
5	Lazio	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Juventus	11	5	4	2	+10	19
7	Napoli	10	6	0	4	+6	18
8	Spezia	12	4	3	5	-4	15
9	Verona	12	3	5	4	-2	14
10	Sampdoria	12	4	2	6	-3	14
11	Benevento	11	4	2	5	-8	14
12	Torino	12	3	4	5	-3	13
13	Udinese	12	3	4	5	-5	13
14	Roma	10	4	1	5	-6	13
15	Genoa	11	2	5	4	-6	11
16	Bologna	12	2	4	6	-6	10
17	Cagliari	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Parma	11	1	3	7	-13	6
19	Fiorentina	11	1	3	7	-13	6
20	Crotone	11	0	2	9	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.