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Bundesliga

Referee: R Schröder

Hoffenheim

S S T T U

4–0

Full-time

Werder Bremen

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 21/20 matches

Win Ø 27%

29%

25%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

76%

30%

Both score Ø 68%

71%

65%

Average goals

3,4

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%

12 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 12. · Werder Bremen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	22	15	4	3	+31	49
2	RB Leipzig	22	14	5	3	+22	47
3	Wolfsburg	22	11	9	2	+16	42
4	Ein Frankfurt	22	11	9	2	+15	42
5	Leverkusen	22	10	7	5	+16	37
6	Dortmund	22	11	3	8	+14	36
7	Union Berlin	22	8	9	5	+10	33
8	M'gladbach	22	8	9	5	+5	33
9	Freiburg	22	8	7	7	+1	31
10	Stuttgart	22	7	8	7	+4	29
11	Werder Bremen	20	5	8	7	-3	23
12	Hoffenheim	21	6	5	10	-7	23
13	Augsburg	22	6	5	11	-13	23
14	FC Koln	22	5	6	11	-16	21
15	Hertha	22	4	6	12	-14	18
16	Bielefeld	21	5	3	13	-20	18
17	Mainz	22	4	5	13	-20	17
18	Schalke 04	22	1	6	15	-41	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	11	9	1	1	+14	28
2	Bayern Munich	10	7	3	0	+22	24
3	Ein Frankfurt	11	6	5	0	+9	23
4	Wolfsburg	10	6	4	0	+9	22
5	Leverkusen	11	5	4	2	+8	19
6	Freiburg	12	5	4	3	+7	19
7	M'gladbach	12	5	4	3	+5	19
8	Union Berlin	11	4	6	1	+9	18
9	Dortmund	10	5	2	3	+8	17
10	Augsburg	12	3	3	6	-8	12
11	Bielefeld	11	4	0	7	-9	12
12	Hoffenheim	10	3	2	5	+0	11
13	Werder Bremen	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Stuttgart	10	1	6	3	-2	9
15	Mainz	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Hertha	11	2	2	7	-12	8
17	FC Koln	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Schalke 04	12	1	2	9	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	8	1	3	+9	25
2	Wolfsburg	12	5	5	2	+7	20
3	Stuttgart	12	6	2	4	+6	20
4	RB Leipzig	11	5	4	2	+8	19
5	Ein Frankfurt	11	5	4	2	+6	19
6	Dortmund	12	6	1	5	+6	19
7	Leverkusen	11	5	3	3	+8	18
8	Union Berlin	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	FC Koln	11	4	3	4	-7	15
10	M'gladbach	10	3	5	2	+0	14
11	Werder Bremen	10	3	4	3	+1	13
12	Freiburg	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Hoffenheim	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Augsburg	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Hertha	11	2	4	5	-2	10
16	Mainz	11	2	3	6	-11	9
17	Bielefeld	10	1	3	6	-11	6
18	Schalke 04	10	0	4	6	-23	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.