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Serie A

Referee: D Chiffi

Lazio

S S S S S

5–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 49%

72%

26%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

78%

47%

Both score Ø 54%

61%

47%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

61% Possession 39%

16 Shots 6

12 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lazio 3. · Sampdoria 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	19	15	3	1	+19	48
2	Inter	19	14	4	1	+24	46
3	Lazio	18	13	3	2	+24	42
4	Atalanta	19	10	5	4	+23	35
5	Roma	19	10	5	4	+13	35
6	Cagliari	19	8	5	6	+4	29
7	Parma	19	8	4	7	+1	28
8	Torino	19	8	3	8	-1	27
9	Verona	18	7	4	7	+0	25
10	Milan	19	7	4	8	-6	25
11	Napoli	19	6	6	7	+2	24
12	Udinese	19	7	3	9	-11	24
13	Bologna	19	6	5	8	-3	23
14	Fiorentina	19	5	6	8	-6	21
15	Sassuolo	19	5	4	10	-4	19
16	Sampdoria	19	5	4	10	-9	19
17	Lecce	19	3	6	10	-16	15
18	Genoa	19	3	5	11	-18	14
19	Brescia	19	4	2	13	-19	14
20	Spal	19	3	3	13	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Lazio	9	7	2	0	+18	23
3	Inter	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Roma	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Udinese	10	5	2	3	+0	17
6	Atalanta	9	5	1	3	+14	16
7	Parma	10	5	1	4	+5	16
8	Cagliari	10	5	1	4	+4	16
9	Verona	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Torino	10	4	2	4	-2	14
11	Bologna	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Sampdoria	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Fiorentina	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Napoli	9	3	2	4	+0	11
15	Sassuolo	9	3	1	5	+1	10
16	Genoa	9	3	1	5	-2	10
17	Milan	9	2	4	3	-3	10
18	Spal	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Lecce	9	0	4	5	-7	4
20	Brescia	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Juventus	10	7	2	1	+6	23
3	Atalanta	10	5	4	1	+9	19
4	Lazio	9	6	1	2	+6	19
5	Roma	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Milan	10	5	0	5	-3	15
7	Napoli	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	Torino	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	Cagliari	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Parma	9	3	3	3	-4	12
11	Bologna	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Lecce	10	3	2	5	-9	11
13	Verona	8	3	1	4	-1	10
14	Brescia	10	3	1	6	-9	10
15	Fiorentina	9	2	3	4	-3	9
16	Sassuolo	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Sampdoria	9	2	1	6	-8	7
18	Udinese	9	2	1	6	-11	7
19	Spal	10	1	1	8	-12	4
20	Genoa	10	0	4	6	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.