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Serie A

Referee: D Massa

Bologna

T T U S T

2–1

Full-time

Atalanta

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 40%

27%

53%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

73%

80%

Both score Ø 77%

80%

73%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

8 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 12. · Atalanta 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	15	12	2	1	+18	38
2	Juventus	15	11	3	1	+11	36
3	Lazio	15	10	3	2	+21	33
4	Cagliari	15	8	5	2	+12	29
5	Roma	15	8	5	2	+11	29
6	Atalanta	15	8	4	3	+14	28
7	Parma	16	7	3	6	+4	24
8	Napoli	16	5	6	5	+4	21
9	Torino	16	6	3	7	-3	21
10	Milan	15	6	2	7	-3	20
11	Verona	16	5	4	7	-3	19
12	Bologna	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Fiorentina	15	4	4	7	-4	16
14	Sassuolo	14	4	3	7	-1	15
15	Lecce	16	3	6	7	-12	15
16	Sampdoria	16	4	3	9	-12	15
17	Udinese	15	4	3	8	-14	15
18	Brescia	15	4	1	10	-12	13
19	Genoa	16	2	5	9	-14	11
20	Spal	15	2	3	10	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	8	6	2	0	+17	20
2	Juventus	7	6	1	0	+7	19
3	Inter	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Cagliari	8	5	1	2	+7	16
5	Roma	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Parma	8	4	0	4	+3	12
7	Verona	9	3	3	3	+0	12
8	Napoli	8	3	2	3	+2	11
9	Torino	8	3	2	3	-2	11
10	Udinese	8	3	2	3	-4	11
11	Atalanta	7	3	1	3	+4	10
12	Sassuolo	8	3	1	4	+2	10
13	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-4	9
14	Bologna	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Fiorentina	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Spal	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Milan	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	Genoa	8	2	1	5	-3	7
19	Lecce	7	0	4	3	-5	4
20	Brescia	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	7	7	0	0	+11	21
2	Atalanta	8	5	3	0	+10	18
3	Juventus	8	5	2	1	+4	17
4	Roma	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Cagliari	7	3	4	0	+5	13
6	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Parma	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Milan	8	4	0	4	+0	12
9	Lecce	9	3	2	4	-7	11
10	Napoli	8	2	4	2	+2	10
11	Torino	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Brescia	8	3	0	5	-5	9
13	Bologna	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Fiorentina	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Verona	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Sampdoria	8	2	0	6	-8	6
17	Sassuolo	6	1	2	3	-3	5
18	Udinese	7	1	1	5	-10	4
19	Genoa	8	0	4	4	-11	4
20	Spal	7	0	1	6	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.