La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valencia
Girona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
33 | 28 | 1 | 4 | +57 | +40.7 | 85 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | +37 | +34.3 | 74 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | +20 | +10.5 | 62 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | +18 | +7.9 | 57 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
33 | 12 | 14 | 7 | +8 | +9.4 | 50 |
| 6 |
Celta
|
32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | +3 | +3.7 | 44 |
| 7 |
Getafe
|
33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | -6 | -13.2 | 44 |
| 8 |
Sociedad
|
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | +0 | +0.6 | 42 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | -11 | +8.3 | 41 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -2 | -3.2 | 39 |
| 11 |
Vallecano
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -8 | +3.2 | 38 |
| 12 |
Espanol
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -12 | -3.9 | 38 |
| 13 |
Girona
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -13 | -11.1 | 38 |
| 14 |
Alaves
|
33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -11 | -2.9 | 36 |
| 15 |
Valencia
|
32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | -12 | +3.4 | 36 |
| 16 |
Elche
|
32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -7 | -18.8 | 35 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | -10 | -18.5 | 35 |
| 18 |
Sevilla
|
32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | -14 | -18.3 | 34 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | -13 | -11.7 | 32 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -24 | -20.3 | 28 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Dimitrievski
G
C. Tarrega
D
Pepelu
D
J. Gaya
D
L. Rioja
M
J. Guerra
M
G. Rodriguez
M
L. Ramazani
M
U. Sadiq
F
Coach: Carlos Corberan
P. Gazzaniga
G
A. Martinez
D
Vitor Reis
D
D. Blind
D
A. Moreno
D
I. Martin
M
A. Witsel
M
V. Tsygankov
M
T. Lemar
M
A. Ounahi
M
C. Echeverri
F
Coach: Michel
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mallorca
Valencia
Elche
Valencia
Valencia
Celta
Sevilla
Valencia
Oviedo
Valencia
A Ruiz · 14 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,46 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.