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Copa del Rey
Referee: César Soto
0–1
Full-time
Espanol
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atlético Paso Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Atlético Paso 65. · Espanol 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Mallorca 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Elche 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Intercity 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Cartagena 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Celta 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Arenteiro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Guijuelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Granada 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Real Unión 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Sestao River 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Diocesano 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Cazalegas 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
55 Alcorcon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
56 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Eldense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Mérida AD 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Atlético Paso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
76 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
77 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Alzira 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
117 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
118 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
119 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atlético Paso Espanol
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 Edu Expósito
↦ Simo
59′
🔁 M. Braithwaite
↦ José Carlos Lazo
O. Gonzalez 🟨
61′
61′
🟨 K. Bare
Agoney González 🔁
↦ Armiche
67′
Joan Piera 🔁
↦ M. Hidaka
67′
70′
🔁 Vinicius Souza
↦ K. Bare
70′
🔁 Darder
↦ Javi Puado
Borjas Martín 🔁
↦ Aridane
73′
80′
Nico Melamed 0–1
Joselu
84′
🟨 O. Gil
Roberto Bolaños 🔁
↦ Robe Moreno
84′
Dawda 🔁
↦ Óscar González
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Atlético Paso

1 Luis Arellano
17 Ayoze Placeres
22 Eneko Zabaleta
5 Óscar González
16 Pelón
20 Loïc Williams
4 Robe Moreno
15 M. Hidaka
12 Aridane
7 Armiche
14 Alberto Oca
Bench (11)
10 Agoney González
11 Joan Piera
18 Borjas Martín
8 Roberto Bolaños
23 Dawda
13 Leo Mendes
19 Félix Alonso
21 Álex Cruz
25 Sergio Ramos
9 Raúl Martínez
2 Gerard Barri

Coach: Yurguen Hernández

Espanol

1 Joan García
4 L. Cabrera
14 Brian Oliván
5 Fernando Calero
2 Óscar Gil
28 Simo
8 K. Bare
16 José Carlos Lazo
21 Nico Melamed
9 Joselu
7 Javi Puado
Bench (11)
20 Edu Expósito
17 M. Braithwaite
12 Vinicius Souza
10 Darder
13 B. Lecomte
35 Roger Martínez
24 Sergi Gómez
22 Aleix Vidal
31 Dani Villahermosa
26 O. El Hilali
25 Álvaro Fernández

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.