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LaLiga2
Sp Gijon
T U T U S
1–1
Full-time
Lugo
S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
20%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
33%
35%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
70%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

21 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sp Gijon 12. · Lugo 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 21 14 3 4 +23 45
2 Eibar 22 12 6 4 +8 42
3 Valladolid 22 12 4 6 +10 40
4 Tenerife 21 11 5 5 +12 38
5 Ponferradina 22 10 7 5 +8 37
6 Cartagena 22 10 3 9 +0 33
7 Oviedo 22 7 11 4 +6 32
8 Girona 21 9 4 8 +4 31
9 Las Palmas 21 8 7 6 +2 31
10 Burgos 22 8 5 9 +0 29
11 Huesca 21 6 9 6 +2 27
12 Sp Gijon 21 7 6 8 -3 27
13 Malaga 21 7 6 8 -8 27
14 Zaragoza 21 5 11 5 -4 26
15 Leganes 22 6 7 9 -1 25
16 Ibiza 21 5 10 6 -4 25
17 Lugo 20 4 11 5 +0 23
18 Mirandes 21 6 5 10 -6 23
19 Amorebieta 22 3 11 8 -7 20
20 Fuenlabrada 21 3 11 7 -7 20
21 Sociedad B 22 4 5 13 -12 17
22 Alcorcon 21 2 5 14 -23 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,89
U ✓
3,23
B
4,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,37
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.