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Primeira Liga
Referee: João Ferreira
Vizela
U T S T T
2–0
Full-time
Belenenses
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vizela Belenenses
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 10%
13%
7%
Points per game
0,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
47%
29%
Both score Ø 48%
60%
36%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,9
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vizela 13. · Belenenses 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 16 14 2 0 +32 44
2 Sp Lisbon 16 14 2 0 +23 44
3 Benfica 16 12 1 3 +32 37
4 Sp Braga 16 9 4 3 +14 31
5 Estoril 16 6 7 3 +5 25
6 Portimonense 16 7 3 6 +1 24
7 Gil Vicente 16 6 5 5 +5 23
8 Guimaraes 16 6 5 5 +5 23
9 Maritimo 16 4 5 7 -6 17
10 Pacos Ferreira 16 4 5 7 -7 17
11 Boavista 16 3 7 6 -8 16
12 Arouca 16 3 5 8 -15 14
13 Vizela 15 2 7 6 -13 13
14 Santa Clara 16 3 4 9 -18 13
15 Moreirense 15 2 6 7 -9 12
16 Tondela 15 4 0 11 -13 12
17 Famalicao 15 2 5 8 -11 11
18 Belenenses 14 1 5 8 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vizela Belenenses
Cassiano 🟨
1′
1–0 Kiko Bondoso
K. Zohi
12′
34′
🟨 Luis Felipe
2–0 Cassiano
34′
38′
🟨 Carraça
41′
🟨 Andrija Luković
43′
🟨 Diogo Calila
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Alisson Safira
↦ T. Phete
Alex Méndez 🟨
61′
Guilherme Schettine 🔁
↦ Cassiano
63′
F. Cann 🔁
↦ K. Zohi
63′
64′
🔁 S. Sithole
↦ Carraça
77′
🔁 Tomás Castro
↦ Pedro Nuno
77′
🔁 César Sousa
↦ A. Luković
Raphael Guzzo 🔁
↦ A. Méndez
80′
A. Alvarado 🔁
↦ Kiko Bondoso
91′
R. Ofori 🔁
↦ Igor Julião
91′
93′
🔁 A. Ndour
↦ Afonso Sousa
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Vizela

4-3-3
1 Pedro Silva G
14 Igor Julião D
3 Bruno Wilson D
24 Kiki Afonso D
10 Kiko Bondoso F
25 M. Aidara D
17 Marcos Paulo M
20 Samú M
19 A. Méndez M
9 Cassiano F
22 K. Zohi F
Bench (9)
95 Guilherme Schettine
99 F. Cann
8 Raphael Guzzo
70 A. Alvarado
37 R. Ofori
84 Ivo Gonçalves
87 Charles
2 Hugo Oliveira
82 Tomás Silva

Coach: Álvaro Pacheco

Belenenses

3-4-3
1 Luiz Felipe G
32 Yohan Tavares D
2 Diogo Calila M
4 Tomás Ribeiro D
5 Nilton Varela M
17 Carraça D
11 A. Luković M
21 T. Phete M
10 Afonso Sousa F
29 Abel Camará F
7 Pedro Nuno F
Bench (9)
25 Alisson Safira
8 S. Sithole
49 Tomás Castro
16 César Sousa
18 A. Ndour
31 João Monteiro
24 Christian Marques
14 Danny Henriques
27 C. Akas

Coach: Filipe Cândido

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
U
3,43
B
3,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

João Ferreira · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.