Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rodez
Le Havre
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Troyes
|
35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | +22 | 71 |
| 2 |
Clermont
|
34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | +33 | 63 |
| 3 |
Toulouse
|
33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | +27 | 62 |
| 4 |
Grenoble
|
35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | +16 | 61 |
| 5 |
Paris FC
|
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +11 | 56 |
| 6 |
Auxerre
|
34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | +19 | 54 |
| 7 |
Sochaux
|
34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 48 |
| 8 |
Nancy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | +2 | 44 |
| 9 |
Amiens
|
33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 |
Valenciennes
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 43 |
| 11 |
Ajaccio
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -9 | 42 |
| 12 |
Rodez
|
34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 |
Le Havre
|
33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 40 |
| 14 |
Pau FC
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 |
Niort
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -22 | 38 |
| 16 |
Guingamp
|
34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | -9 | 37 |
| 17 |
Caen
|
34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 |
Dunkerque
|
33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -11 | 36 |
| 19 | Chambly | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -23 | 31 |
| 20 |
Chateauroux
|
34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | -22 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Chateauroux
Rodez
Rodez
Paris FC
Amiens
Rodez
Rodez
Guingamp
Rodez
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.