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Süper Lig
Referee: Huseyin Gocek
Denizlispor
T U T T U
1–1
Full-time
Sivasspor
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 27%
18%
35%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
59%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Denizlispor 21. · Sivasspor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 34 22 6 6 +37 72
2 Fenerbahce 34 21 6 7 +27 69
3 Galatasaray 34 20 6 8 +33 66
4 Trabzonspor 36 17 12 7 +11 63
5 Alanyaspor 35 16 7 12 +16 55
6 Hatayspor 35 15 9 11 +14 54
7 Gaziantep 34 13 12 9 +9 51
8 Sivasspor 34 12 15 7 +7 51
9 Karagumruk 35 13 11 11 +7 50
10 Goztep 35 12 11 12 +3 47
11 Konyaspor 35 10 12 13 -3 42
12 Rizespor 35 10 12 13 -11 42
13 Antalyaspor 35 9 15 11 -11 42
14 Ankaragücü 34 10 8 16 -12 38
15 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 8 13 13 -6 37
16 Kasimpasa 35 9 10 16 -14 37
17 Buyuksehyr 34 9 9 16 -16 36
18 Kayserispor 34 8 11 15 -17 35
19 Genclerbirligi 35 9 8 18 -25 35
20 Erzurumspor 35 8 10 17 -22 34
21 Denizlispor 34 6 9 19 -27 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Denizlispor Sivasspor
32′
O. Kayode 0–1
34′
ℹ️ Olarenwaju Kayode
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Half-time 0–1
M. Diskerud 🔁
↦ M. Bakalorz
58′
1–1 M. Diskerud
59′
V. Tusha 🔁
↦ M. Mešanović
62′
66′
🔁 T. Boyd
↦ E. Yeşilyurt
H. Ayaroğlu 🔁
↦ K. Aktaş
67′
A. Ben Mohamed 🔁
↦ S. Aytaç
67′
84′
🔁 R. Yalçın
↦ A. Oğuz
84′
🔁 A. Koné
↦ O. Kayode
84′
🔁 Jorge Félix
↦ M. Gradel
90′
🟨 Claudemir
93′
🔁 Z. Erdal
↦ F. Fajr
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Denizlispor

4-3-3
99 A. Sünger G
23 S. Aytaç D
91 Fabiano D
76 Ö. Özdemir D
3 M. Özkal D
6 M. Bakalorz M
8 R. Murawski M
5 K. Aktaş M
7 H. Rodallega F
11 M. Mešanović F
28 Á. Sagal F
Bench (10)
42 M. Diskerud
25 V. Tusha
70 H. Ayaroğlu
30 A. Ben Mohamed
20 R. Niyaz
19 C. Gönen
14 M. Dossevi
60 Ö. Çek
26 G. Can
61 A. Kol

Coach: A. Tandoğan

Sivasspor

4-1-4-1
35 A. Vural G
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
3 U. Çiftçi D
14 S. Camara D
77 A. Oğuz D
6 Claudemir M
37 H. Arslan M
76 F. Fajr M
17 E. Yeşilyurt M
7 M. Gradel M
80 O. Kayode F
Bench (10)
99 T. Boyd
8 R. Yalçın
2 A. Koné
11 Jorge Félix
58 Z. Erdal
29 C. Ninga
5 I. Cofie
25 M. Yıldırım
20 K. Kesgin
30 M. Samassa

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,61
U ✓
3,55
B
1,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Huseyin Gocek · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.