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La Liga
Referee: David Medié
Valencia
U U U T T
1–1
Full-time
Cadiz
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
19%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
63%
25%
Both score Ø 47%
69%
25%
Average goals
2,9
1,9
Scored
1,4
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 7
2 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 18. · Cadiz 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 15 12 2 1 +23 38
2 Real Madrid 17 11 3 3 +15 36
3 Sociedad 18 8 6 4 +14 30
4 Villarreal 17 7 8 2 +5 29
5 Barcelona 16 8 4 4 +15 28
6 Sevilla 15 8 3 4 +7 27
7 Granada 16 7 3 6 -6 24
8 Celta 17 6 5 6 -2 23
9 Ath Bilbao 17 6 3 8 +0 21
10 Betis 17 6 2 9 -11 20
11 Eibar 17 4 7 6 -2 19
12 Cadiz 16 5 4 7 -9 19
13 Levante 16 4 6 6 -2 18
14 Alaves 17 4 6 7 -5 18
15 Valladolid 17 4 6 7 -8 18
16 Getafe 16 4 5 7 -5 17
17 Elche 15 3 7 5 -5 16
18 Valencia 16 3 6 7 -2 15
19 Osasuna 16 3 5 8 -10 14
20 Huesca 17 1 9 7 -12 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Cadiz
Denis Cheryshev 🟨
16′
Hugo Guillamón 🟨
18′
Lee Kang-In 🔁
↦ K. Gameiro
26′
36′
🟨 Anthony Lozano
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Carlos Akapo
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
58′
A. Lozano 0–1
Álex Blanco 🔁
↦ Y. Musah
64′
Manu Vallejo 🔁
↦ D. Cheryshev
64′
69′
🟨 Álvaro Negredo
73′
🔁 Álvaro Giménez
↦ A. Lozano
73′
🔁 F. Malbašić
↦ Álvaro Negredo
Sobrino 🔁
↦ D. Wass
76′
1–1 M. Gómez
Gayà
79′
89′
🔁 Alberto Perea
↦ Álex
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
1 Jaume Doménech G
14 Gayà D
12 M. Diakhaby D
2 Thierry Correia D
15 Hugo Guillamón D
18 D. Wass M
17 D. Cheryshev M
8 Carlos Soler M
30 Y. Musah M
9 K. Gameiro F
22 M. Gómez F
Bench (11)
20 Lee Kang-In
37 Álex Blanco
21 Manu Vallejo
11 Sobrino
31 Guillem Molina
27 K. Koindredi
3 Toni Lato
42 Unai Etxebarría
25 Cristian Rivero
26 Vicente Esquerdo
4 E. Mangala

Coach: Javi Gracia

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
16 Juan Cala D
19 Alcalá D
20 Isaac Carcelén D
3 Fali Jiménez M
22 A. Espino D
8 Álex M
2 J. Jønsson M
25 Jairo Izquierdo M
18 Álvaro Negredo F
9 A. Lozano F
Bench (12)
15 Carlos Akapo
21 Álvaro Giménez
24 F. Malbašić
10 Alberto Perea
32 B. Adekanye
26 J. Flere
12 Y. Bodiger
5 Jon Garrido
13 David Gil
11 Jorge Pombo
27 Marc Baró
6 José Mari

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
3,43
B
3,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medié · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.