La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Eibar
Osasuna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | +39 | 71 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | +39 | 70 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | +18 | 59 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | +15 | 57 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | +13 | 54 |
| 6 |
Getafe
|
32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | +12 | 52 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | +10 | 48 |
| 8 |
Sociedad
|
32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 9 |
Granada
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 |
Levante
|
33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 |
Osasuna
|
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -9 | 41 |
| 13 |
Betis
|
33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 |
Valladolid
|
33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | -10 | 36 |
| 15 |
Eibar
|
32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 35 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | -18 | 35 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | -10 | 34 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Leganes
|
33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -25 | 25 |
| 20 |
Espanol
|
32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -25 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Granada
Eibar
Eibar
Valencia
Getafe
Eibar
Eibar
Ath Bilbao
Real Madrid
Eibar
José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.