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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime
Valladolid
U T U U U
1–0
Full-time
Alaves
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 24%
21%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
27%
39%
Both score Ø 47%
45%
48%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
5 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 14. · Alaves 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 33 22 8 3 +40 74
2 Barcelona 33 21 7 5 +39 70
3 Ath Madrid 34 16 14 4 +21 62
4 Sevilla 33 15 12 6 +15 57
5 Villarreal 33 16 6 11 +13 54
6 Getafe 33 14 10 9 +11 52
7 Sociedad 33 15 5 13 +8 50
8 Ath Bilbao 33 12 12 9 +10 48
9 Granada 33 13 7 13 +2 46
10 Valencia 33 12 10 11 -7 46
11 Osasuna 33 11 11 11 -7 44
12 Levante 33 12 6 15 -5 42
13 Betis 34 9 11 14 -11 38
14 Valladolid 33 7 15 11 -10 36
15 Celta 34 7 14 13 -10 35
16 Eibar 33 9 8 16 -16 35
17 Alaves 33 9 8 16 -18 35
18 Mallorca 34 8 5 21 -24 29
19 Leganes 33 5 10 18 -25 25
20 Espanol 33 5 9 19 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Alaves
M. de la Fuente 🟨
28′
32′
🔁 R. Duarte
↦ A. Marin
33′
🟨 L. Fejsa
39′
🟨 T. Pina
Half-time 0–0
P. Hervias 🔁
↦ O. Plano
57′
Toni 🔁
↦ W. Rubio
57′
57′
🔁 L. Perez
↦ P. Pons
58′
🔁 L. Fejsa
↦ Joselu
M. de la Fuente 🔁
↦ E. Unal
62′
S. Guardiola 🔁
↦ Kiko
78′
R. Alcaraz 🔁
↦ Kike
78′
1–0 J. Fernandez
J. Sanchez
88′
89′
🔁 V. Camarasa
↦ B. Sainz
89′
🔁 T. Pina
↦ M. Garcia
O. Plano 🟨
90′
E. Unal 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-4-2
1 Jordi Masip G
17 Javi Moyano D
24 Joaquin Fernandez D
5 Javi Sánchez D
6 Raúl García D
11 Pablo Hervias M
16 Fede San Emeterio M
14 Rubén Alcaraz M
19 Toni Villa M
29 Miguel De La Fuente F
7 Sergi Guardiola F
Bench (11)
26 Samuel Pérez
27 Mohammed Salisu
4 Kiko Olivas
18 Antoñito
22 Nacho Martinez
28 Kike
3 Hatem Ben Arfa
9 Enes Ünal
23 Waldo Rubio Marin
35 Víctor García
10 Óscar Plano

Coach: Sergio

Alaves

4-2-3-1
13 Roberto Jiménez G
21 Martín Aguirregabiria D
5 Víctor Laguardia D
6 Lisandro Magallán D
3 Rubén Duarte D
15 Ljubomir Fejsa M
8 Tomás Pina M
24 Oliver Burke M
10 Víctor Camarasa M
16 Edgar Mendez M
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (12)
31 Aritz Castro
17 Adrián Marín
4 Rodrigo Ely
27 Alberto Rodríguez
36 Abdallahi Mahmoud
35 Ismael Gutiérrez
19 Manu García
38 José Luis Rodríguez
20 Pere Pons
29 Borja Sainz
11 Luis Rioja
9 Joselu

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,60
U
2,78
B
3,28
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,89
U2,5 ✓
1,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Santiago Jaime · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.