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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Ath Madrid

U U S S S

2–1

Full-time

Alaves

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 37%

45%

29%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

26%

39%

Both score Ø 45%

42%

48%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%

14 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Alaves 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	32	21	6	5	+39	69
2	Real Madrid	31	20	8	3	+38	68
3	Ath Madrid	31	14	13	4	+17	55
4	Sevilla	32	14	12	6	+12	54
5	Getafe	31	13	10	8	+11	49
6	Villarreal	31	14	6	11	+9	48
7	Sociedad	31	14	5	12	+8	47
8	Valencia	31	12	10	9	-3	46
9	Ath Bilbao	32	11	12	9	+8	45
10	Granada	31	12	7	12	+1	43
11	Osasuna	32	10	11	11	-9	41
12	Levante	31	11	5	15	-7	38
13	Betis	31	9	10	12	-7	37
14	Valladolid	32	7	14	11	-10	35
15	Alaves	31	9	8	14	-15	35
16	Celta	32	7	13	12	-6	34
17	Eibar	31	8	8	15	-15	32
18	Mallorca	32	7	5	20	-25	26
19	Leganes	32	5	10	17	-22	25
20	Espanol	31	5	9	17	-24	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	15	1	0	+36	46
2	Real Madrid	16	12	4	0	+25	40
3	Valencia	16	9	7	0	+13	34
4	Ath Madrid	15	9	5	1	+12	32
5	Ath Bilbao	16	9	4	3	+11	31
6	Granada	15	9	2	4	+8	29
7	Sevilla	16	7	7	2	+8	28
8	Betis	16	8	4	4	+7	28
9	Sociedad	16	8	3	5	+13	27
10	Getafe	16	7	6	3	+8	27
11	Villarreal	15	7	5	3	+10	26
12	Alaves	16	7	5	4	+8	26
13	Levante	15	7	4	4	+6	25
14	Eibar	16	7	2	7	+0	23
15	Osasuna	16	6	5	5	-4	23
16	Celta	16	5	6	5	+3	21
17	Mallorca	16	6	3	7	-2	21
18	Valladolid	15	3	9	3	+1	18
19	Leganes	16	4	4	8	-7	16
20	Espanol	15	2	5	8	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	8	4	3	+13	28
2	Sevilla	16	7	5	4	+4	26
3	Ath Madrid	16	5	8	3	+5	23
4	Barcelona	16	6	5	5	+3	23
5	Getafe	15	6	4	5	+3	22
6	Villarreal	16	7	1	8	-1	22
7	Sociedad	15	6	2	7	-5	20
8	Osasuna	16	4	6	6	-5	18
9	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-11	17
10	Ath Bilbao	16	2	8	6	-3	14
11	Granada	16	3	5	8	-7	14
12	Celta	16	2	7	7	-9	13
13	Espanol	16	3	4	9	-12	13
14	Levante	16	4	1	11	-13	13
15	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-16	12
16	Betis	15	1	6	8	-14	9
17	Eibar	15	1	6	8	-15	9
18	Leganes	16	1	6	9	-15	9
19	Alaves	15	2	3	10	-23	9
20	Mallorca	16	1	2	13	-23	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.