La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valladolid
Getafe
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | +38 | 65 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | +36 | 65 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | +12 | 53 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
30 | 13 | 13 | 4 | +16 | 52 |
| 5 |
Getafe
|
30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +11 | 48 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | +9 | 48 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 47 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Granada
|
31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |
Ath Bilbao
|
30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | +7 | 42 |
| 11 |
Levante
|
30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 |
Osasuna
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 |
Alaves
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -14 | 35 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 |
Valladolid
|
30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |
Celta
|
30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 |
Eibar
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -16 | 29 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -21 | 26 |
| 19 |
Leganes
|
31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -21 | 25 |
| 20 |
Espanol
|
30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -23 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Mohammed Salisu
D
Rubén Alcaraz
M
Enes Ünal
F
Coach: Sergio
David Soria
G
Djené
D
Mathias Olivera
D
Marc Cucurella
M
Hugo Duro
F
Coach: José Bordalás
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Madrid
Valladolid
Valladolid
Celta
Leganes
Valladolid
Valladolid
Ath Bilbao
Sociedad
Valladolid
César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.