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Championship
Referee: R Jones
Blackburn
U T S T T
1–3
Full-time
Leeds
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
This season — Championship · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 47%
38%
55%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
30%
Both score Ø 47%
55%
38%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 4
1 Offside 6
18 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 11. · Leeds 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 40 22 9 9 +27 75
2 West Brom 40 20 14 6 +29 74
3 Nott'm Forest 41 18 14 9 +13 68
4 Fulham 38 19 9 10 +11 66
5 Derby 41 16 13 12 +3 61
6 Brentford 37 17 9 11 +31 60
7 Cardiff 39 15 15 9 +6 60
8 Millwall 41 14 17 10 +4 59
9 Swansea 38 14 15 9 +8 57
10 Preston 40 16 9 15 +2 57
11 Blackburn 40 15 11 14 +5 56
12 Bristol City 40 15 10 15 -6 55
13 Sheffield Weds 40 14 10 16 -5 52
14 Wigan 40 13 11 16 -5 50
15 QPR 40 14 8 18 -7 50
16 Reading 40 13 10 17 +0 49
17 Birmingham 40 12 13 15 -12 49
18 Charlton 41 12 10 19 -9 46
19 Hull 40 12 9 19 -14 45
20 Huddersfield 40 12 9 19 -14 45
21 Middlesbrough 40 10 14 16 -12 44
22 Stoke 40 12 7 21 -11 43
23 Barnsley 40 10 11 19 -17 41
24 Luton 40 11 7 22 -27 40

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Leeds
7′
P. Bamford 0–1
M. Klich
S. Downing 🔁
↦ E. Bennett
22′
25′
🟨 Mateusz Klich
28′
🟨 Luke Ayling
40′
K. Phillips 0–2
Half-time 1–2
1–2 A. Armstrong
48′
53′
M. Klich 1–3
D. Graham 🔁
↦ S. Gallagher
60′
D. Samuel 🔁
↦ L. Holtby
60′
61′
🔁 Pablo Hernández
↦ T. Roberts
J. Buckley 🔁
↦ J. Rothwell
69′
J. Davenport 🔁
↦ L. Travis
69′
Christian Walton 🟨
74′
89′
🔁 J. Shackleton
↦ M. Klich
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-3-3
1 C. Walton G
26 D. Lenihan D
24 T. Adarabioyo D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe D
31 E. Bennett D
4 B. Johnson M
22 L. Holtby F
8 J. Rothwell M
7 A. Armstrong F
9 S. Gallagher F
Bench (9)
19 S. Downing
10 D. Graham
12 D. Samuel
39 J. Buckley
18 J. Davenport
14 C. Mulgrew
11 H. Chapman
41 H. Carter
13 J. Leutwiler

Coach: T. Mowbray

Leeds

4-1-4-1
1 I. Meslier G
3 B. Douglas D
6 L. Cooper D
2 L. Ayling D
5 B. White D
43 M. Klich M
23 K. Phillips M
22 J. Harrison M
10 E. Alioski M
9 P. Bamford F
11 T. Roberts M
Bench (9)
19 Pablo Hernández
46 J. Shackleton
36 R. Gotts
28 G. Berardi
30 K. Miazek
34 P. Struijk
48 J. Stevens
40 L. Davis
7 I. Poveda-Ocampo

Coach: M. Bielsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,39
U
3,80
B ✓
1,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.