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Premier League

Referee: Stuart Attwell

Norwich

S T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Brighton

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

0,2

0,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,5

This season — Premier League · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 19%

16%

22%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

44%

Both score Ø 49%

44%

53%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 2

4 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 20. · Brighton 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	32	28	2	2	+45	86
2	Man City	32	21	3	8	+48	66
3	Leicester	32	16	7	9	+29	55
4	Chelsea	32	16	6	10	+13	54
5	Man United	32	14	10	8	+20	52
6	Wolves	32	13	13	6	+11	52
7	Sheffield United	32	12	11	9	+1	47
8	Arsenal	32	11	13	8	+6	46
9	Tottenham	32	12	9	11	+7	45
10	Burnley	32	13	6	13	-9	45
11	Everton	32	12	8	12	-7	44
12	Crystal Palace	32	11	9	12	-9	42
13	Newcastle	32	11	9	12	-10	42
14	Southampton	32	12	4	16	-14	40
15	Brighton	32	7	12	13	-10	33
16	West Ham	32	8	6	18	-18	30
17	Watford	32	6	10	16	-20	28
18	Aston Villa	32	7	6	19	-24	27
19	Bournemouth	32	7	6	19	-24	27
20	Norwich	32	5	6	21	-35	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	16	16	0	0	+32	48
2	Man City	16	12	2	2	+33	38
3	Man United	16	9	5	2	+20	32
4	Leicester	16	9	4	3	+15	31
5	Tottenham	16	9	3	4	+14	30
6	Arsenal	16	8	5	3	+10	29
7	Everton	16	8	5	3	+5	29
8	Chelsea	16	8	3	5	+8	27
9	Sheffield United	16	8	3	5	+6	27
10	Burnley	16	8	2	6	+2	26
11	Wolves	16	6	7	3	+5	25
12	Newcastle	16	6	7	3	+3	25
13	Crystal Palace	16	6	4	6	-2	22
14	Brighton	16	5	6	5	+0	21
15	Watford	16	4	6	6	-3	18
16	West Ham	16	5	3	8	-4	18
17	Aston Villa	16	5	3	8	-8	18
18	Bournemouth	16	4	5	7	-9	17
19	Norwich	16	4	3	9	-11	15
20	Southampton	16	4	2	10	-17	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	16	12	2	2	+13	38
2	Man City	16	9	1	6	+15	28
3	Wolves	16	7	6	3	+6	27
4	Chelsea	16	8	3	5	+5	27
5	Southampton	16	8	2	6	+3	26
6	Leicester	16	7	3	6	+14	24
7	Man United	16	5	5	6	+0	20
8	Sheffield United	16	4	8	4	-5	20
9	Crystal Palace	16	5	5	6	-7	20
10	Burnley	16	5	4	7	-11	19
11	Arsenal	16	3	8	5	-4	17
12	Newcastle	16	5	2	9	-13	17
13	Tottenham	16	3	6	7	-7	15
14	Everton	16	4	3	9	-12	15
15	Brighton	16	2	6	8	-10	12
16	West Ham	16	3	3	10	-14	12
17	Bournemouth	16	3	1	12	-15	10
18	Watford	16	2	4	10	-17	10
19	Aston Villa	16	2	3	11	-16	9
20	Norwich	16	1	3	12	-24	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.