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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Valladolid

T U T T S

2–3

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 40%

33%

47%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 24%

27%

20%

Both score Ø 40%

33%

47%

Average goals

1,9

2,1

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%

8 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 12. · Ath Madrid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	9	4	2	+22	31
2	Sevilla	15	8	4	3	+11	28
3	Ath Madrid	15	7	7	1	+11	28
4	Real Madrid	15	8	2	5	+4	26
5	Getafe	16	6	6	4	+5	24
6	Alaves	15	7	3	5	+1	24
7	Levante	15	6	4	5	+2	22
8	Betis	15	6	4	5	-1	22
9	Celta	16	5	6	5	+4	21
10	Girona	15	5	6	4	+0	21
11	Espanol	15	6	3	6	-3	21
12	Valladolid	15	5	5	5	-2	20
13	Sociedad	16	5	4	7	-1	19
14	Eibar	15	5	4	6	-4	19
15	Valencia	15	3	9	3	+0	18
16	Leganes	16	4	6	6	-4	18
17	Villarreal	15	3	5	7	-4	14
18	Ath Bilbao	15	2	8	5	-8	14
19	Vallecano	15	2	4	9	-15	10
20	Huesca	15	1	4	10	-18	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+16	17
3	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Sevilla	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	Alaves	7	4	3	0	+4	15
6	Espanol	7	5	0	2	+1	15
7	Eibar	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Betis	8	4	2	2	+1	14
9	Celta	9	3	4	2	+5	13
10	Getafe	8	4	1	3	+4	13
11	Leganes	7	3	3	1	+2	12
12	Levante	7	3	1	3	-1	10
13	Ath Bilbao	8	2	4	2	-3	10
14	Valencia	8	1	6	1	+2	9
15	Girona	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Sociedad	7	1	3	3	-2	6
18	Villarreal	8	1	3	4	-3	6
19	Vallecano	8	1	3	4	-8	6
20	Huesca	7	0	3	4	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+6	14
2	Sociedad	9	4	1	4	+1	13
3	Sevilla	8	3	3	2	+6	12
4	Levante	8	3	3	2	+3	12
5	Girona	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+0	12
7	Getafe	8	2	5	1	+1	11
8	Real Madrid	8	3	1	4	-5	10
9	Valencia	7	2	3	2	-2	9
10	Alaves	8	3	0	5	-3	9
11	Ath Madrid	7	1	5	1	+0	8
12	Celta	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Betis	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Leganes	9	1	3	5	-6	6
17	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Ath Bilbao	7	0	4	3	-5	4
19	Vallecano	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.