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Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Hertha
U S U U T
3–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 12%
23%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 58%
69%
46%
Average goals
3,4
3,4
Scored
1,5
0,6
Conceded
1,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
21 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 14. · Schalke 04 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 13 9 3 1 +20 30
2 Leverkusen 14 8 4 2 +15 28
3 RB Leipzig 13 8 4 1 +15 28
4 Union Berlin 14 6 6 2 +11 24
5 Wolfsburg 13 6 6 1 +7 24
6 Dortmund 13 7 1 5 +8 22
7 M'gladbach 14 5 6 3 +3 21
8 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 8 2 +0 20
9 Freiburg 14 5 5 4 -1 20
10 Augsburg 14 5 4 5 -3 19
11 Stuttgart 13 4 6 3 +6 18
12 Hoffenheim 14 4 3 7 -4 15
13 Werder Bremen 14 3 5 6 -7 14
14 Hertha 13 3 4 6 -4 13
15 FC Koln 14 2 5 7 -9 11
16 Bielefeld 14 3 1 10 -15 10
17 Mainz 13 1 3 9 -14 6
18 Schalke 04 13 0 4 9 -28 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Schalke 04
Lucas Tousart 🟨
14′
1–0 M. Guendouzi
36′
37′
🟨 Matthew Hoppe
Half-time 1–0
Mattéo Guendouzi 🟨
51′
2–0 J. Córdoba
V. Darida
52′
58′
🟨 Omar Mascarell
58′
🔁 S. Skrzybski
↦ A. Harit
58′
🔁 T. Becker
↦ Omar Mascarell
68′
🔁 C. Bozdogan
↦ S. Skrzybski
K. Piątek 🔁
↦ J. Córdoba
78′
3–0 K. Piątek
V. Darida
80′
81′
🔁 A. Kutucu
↦ M. Hoppe
D. Zeefuik 🔁
↦ P. Pekarík
82′
J. Ngankam 🔁
↦ Matheus Cunha
82′
L. Netz 🔁
↦ M. Plattenhardt
86′
M. Mittelstädt 🔁
↦ D. Lukébakio
86′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hertha

4-3-3
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
5 N. Stark D
14 O. Alderete D
6 V. Darida M
29 L. Tousart M
8 M. Guendouzi M
15 J. Córdoba F
11 D. Lukébakio F
10 Matheus Cunha F
Bench (9)
9 K. Piątek
42 D. Zeefuik
27 J. Ngankam
32 L. Netz
17 M. Mittelstädt
25 J. Torunarigha
31 M. Dárdai
22 R. Jarstein
33 D. Redan

Coach: B. Labbadia

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
24 B. Oczipka D
5 M. Nastasić D
17 B. Stambouli D
4 O. Kabak D
6 Omar Mascarell M
28 A. Schöpf M
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit M
7 M. Uth M
43 M. Hoppe F
Bench (8)
22 S. Skrzybski
31 T. Becker
40 C. Bozdogan
15 A. Kutucu
3 H. Mendyl
23 F. Rønnow
37 L. Mercan
33 M. Thiaw

Coach: C. Gross

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,87
B
4,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.