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Süper Lig
Referee: A Kardeşler
Besiktas
S S T U T
2–0
Full-time
Trabzonspor
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 48%
48%
48%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 53%
48%
57%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,50 xG 1,50
45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 4. · Trabzonspor 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 24 20 3 1 +45 +43.4 63
2 Galatasaray 24 20 3 1 +36 +32.2 63
3 Trabzonspor 23 11 4 8 +7 -2.5 37
4 Besiktas 23 11 3 9 +2 +9.8 36
5 Rizespor 24 10 6 8 -6 -4.6 36
6 Kasimpasa 24 10 5 9 -3 -7.0 35
7 Antalyaspor 24 8 10 6 +4 +2.7 34
8 Buyuksehyr 24 9 6 9 +3 -1.1 33
9 Ad. Demirspor 24 7 10 7 +6 -1.4 31
10 Kayserispor 24 8 7 9 -5 -7.0 31
11 Sivasspor 24 7 9 8 -7 -5.1 30
12 Ankaragücü 24 6 11 7 +2 -2.7 29
13 Hatayspor 24 6 10 8 -1 -0.4 28
14 Alanyaspor 24 6 9 9 -8 +2.6 27
15 Samsunspor 24 7 5 12 -8 +1.8 26
16 Pendikspor 24 6 8 10 -16 -8.1 26
17 Karagumruk 24 6 6 12 -1 -10.3 24
18 Gaziantep 24 6 6 12 -9 -10.8 24
19 Konyaspor 24 4 10 10 -14 -12.7 22
20 İstanbulspor 24 3 5 16 -27 -18.9 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Trabzonspor
Umut Meraş 🟨
38′
1–0 S. Kılıçsoy
44′
Half-time 1–0
Jonas Svensson 🟨
54′
Rachid Ghezzal 🟨
58′
2–0 S. Kılıçsoy
C. Tosun
62′
O. Bulut 🔁
↦ J. Svensson
67′
72′
🔁 T. Fountas
↦ B. Özdemir
E. Terzi 🔁
↦ U. Meraş
79′
T. Bingöl 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
79′
81′
🔁 U. Güneş
↦ E. Destan
A. Rebić 🔁
↦ C. Tosun
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 J. Svensson D
20 N. Uysal D
22 B. Zaynutdinov D
77 U. Meraş D
12 D. Amartey M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
18 R. Ghezzal M
11 M. Rashica M
9 C. Tosun M
90 S. Kılıçsoy F
Bench (10)
4 O. Bulut
79 E. Terzi
75 T. Bingöl
7 A. Rebić
5 T. Sanuç
64 M. Hekimoğlu
21 E. Tıknaz
40 J. Muleka
1 E. Destanoğlu
99 E. Bulut

Coach: Fernando Santos

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
50 M. Aydın D
2 R. Baniya D
24 S. Denswil D
18 E. Elmalı D
5 B. Özdemir M
6 B. Mendy M
7 E. Višća M
8 E. Bardhi M
27 Trézéguet M
94 E. Destan F
Bench (10)
14 T. Fountas
23 U. Güneş
3 Joaquín Fernández
22 O. Yılmaz
16 K. Şen
73 A. Boşluk
33 G. Gürpüz
90 P. Yıldırım
20 O. Bakić
54 T. Tepe

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
U
3,54
B
3,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kardeşler · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.