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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Zurich

U S U S S

2–3

Full-time

Lugano

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — Super League · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 35%

29%

40%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

46%

51%

Both score Ø 63%

54%

71%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

45% Possession 55%

19 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

9 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 7. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	35	20	11	4	+51	71
2	Servette	35	13	16	6	+6	55
3	Lugano	35	14	12	9	+11	54
4	Luzern	35	13	11	11	+3	50
5	Basel	35	10	14	11	-1	44
6	Grasshoppers	35	12	8	15	-6	44
7	Zurich	35	10	14	11	-13	44
8	St. Gallen	35	10	12	13	+10	42
9	Winterthur	35	8	8	19	-33	32
10	Sion	35	7	10	18	-28	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	17	13	4	0	+42	43
2	Servette	18	8	9	1	+15	33
3	Lugano	18	9	5	4	+11	32
4	Grasshoppers	18	9	3	6	+6	30
5	St. Gallen	17	7	6	4	+12	27
6	Basel	17	5	8	4	+4	23
7	Zurich	17	5	8	4	-2	23
8	Luzern	17	5	7	5	+3	22
9	Winterthur	18	5	4	9	-17	19
10	Sion	18	2	4	12	-20	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	18	7	7	4	+9	28
2	Luzern	18	8	4	6	+0	28
3	Lugano	17	5	7	5	+0	22
4	Servette	17	5	7	5	-9	22
5	Basel	18	5	6	7	-5	21
6	Sion	17	5	6	6	-8	21
7	Zurich	18	5	6	7	-11	21
8	St. Gallen	18	3	6	9	-2	15
9	Grasshoppers	17	3	5	9	-12	14
10	Winterthur	17	3	4	10	-16	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.