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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
Young Boys
U S U S S
5–1
Full-time
Winterthur
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
This season — Super League · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 45%
65%
25%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
71%
44%
Both score Ø 52%
53%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
0,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

68% Possession 32%
20 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Young Boys 1. · Winterthur 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 17 11 5 1 +27 38
2 Lugano 18 8 3 7 +1 27
3 St. Gallen 17 7 4 6 +9 25
4 Servette 16 6 7 3 +1 25
5 Luzern 18 6 6 6 +1 24
6 Basel 18 5 7 6 +3 22
7 Grasshoppers 18 5 6 7 -3 21
8 Sion 17 5 5 7 -7 20
9 Winterthur 16 4 4 8 -18 16
10 Zurich 17 2 7 8 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Young Boys Winterthur
7′
🟨 Nishan Burkart
1–0 J. Nsame
17′
Cheikh Niasse 🟨
22′
2–0 C. Itten
U. Garcia
24′
3–0 C. Itten
L. Blum
27′
Lewin Blum 🟨
31′
40′
S. Ramizi 3–1
Half-time 3–1
S. Lauper 🔁
↦ C. Niasse
46′
Q. Maceiras 🔁
↦ L. Blum
46′
Jean-Pierre Nsame ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
51′
4–1 J. Nsame
52′
62′
🔁 R. Buess
↦ N. Manzambi
62′
🔁 S. Ballet
↦ M. Di Giusto
Joël Monteiro 🔁
↦ C. Itten
67′
72′
🔁 H. Kryeziu
↦ T. Corbaz
Fabian Rieder 🟨
74′
K. Imeri 🔁
↦ F. Rieder
76′
5–1 J. Nsame
U. Garcia
79′
81′
🔁 S. Ltaief
↦ S. Ramizi
81′
🔁 E. Abedini
↦ R. Arnold
85′
🟨 Sayfallah Ltaief
L. Benito 🔁
↦ U. Garcia
85′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
1 A. Racioppi G
27 L. Blum D
28 F. Lustenberger D
5 C. Zesiger D
21 U. Garcia D
16 C. Fassnacht M
20 C. Niasse M
7 F. Ugrinic M
32 F. Rieder M
11 C. Itten F
18 J. Nsame F
Bench (9)
30 S. Lauper
24 Q. Maceiras
77 Joël Monteiro
29 K. Imeri
23 L. Benito
22 D. Rrudhani
40 D. Marzino
4 A. Amenda
14 M. Chaiwa

Coach: R. Wicky

Winterthur

4-2-3-1
30 M. Kuster G
15 M. Gonçalves D
23 G. Lekaj D
5 R. Gelmi D
18 S. Diaby D
14 T. Corbaz M
16 R. Arnold M
10 M. Di Giusto M
8 S. Ramizi M
99 N. Burkart M
7 N. Manzambi F
Bench (9)
9 R. Buess
17 S. Ballet
40 H. Kryeziu
24 S. Ltaief
77 E. Abedini
25 Y. Schmid
3 T. Schättin
27 A. Abaz
44 F. Rodríguez

Coach: B. Berner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.