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Super League

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Aris Thessalonikis

S T S T T

1–2

Full-time

Panathinaikos

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Super League · 21/23 matches

Win Ø 59%

43%

74%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

43%

26%

Both score Ø 27%

24%

30%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

0,9

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

9 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

14 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 6. · Panathinaikos 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	23	17	3	3	+21	54
2	AEK	22	17	2	3	+37	53
3	PAOK	23	13	8	2	+20	47
4	Olympiakos	23	13	7	3	+23	46
5	Volos NFC	24	11	5	8	-6	38
6	Aris Thessalonikis	21	9	4	8	+10	31
7	Aris	22	9	4	9	+9	31
8	Panetolikos	23	7	6	10	-5	27
9	Atromitos	22	6	8	8	-1	26
10	Asteras Tripolis	23	4	10	9	-13	22
11	OFI Crete	22	4	9	9	-8	21
12	Giannina	23	4	9	10	-18	21
13	Ionikos	24	4	6	14	-18	18
14	Levadeiakos	23	2	8	13	-19	14
15	Lamia	22	1	9	12	-32	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	11	10	0	1	+23	30
2	Panathinaikos	12	9	2	1	+10	29
3	PAOK	12	8	3	1	+10	27
4	Olympiakos	11	8	2	1	+15	26
5	Aris Thessalonikis	10	7	2	1	+15	23
6	Aris	11	7	2	2	+14	23
7	Volos NFC	12	6	1	5	-5	19
8	Atromitos	11	4	6	1	+5	18
9	Asteras Tripolis	11	4	5	2	+3	17
10	Giannina	12	3	5	4	-9	14
11	Panetolikos	12	3	3	6	-6	12
12	Levadeiakos	12	2	5	5	-7	11
13	Ionikos	12	2	5	5	-8	11
14	OFI Crete	11	2	4	5	-5	10
15	Lamia	10	1	4	5	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	AEK	11	7	2	2	+14	23
3	PAOK	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Olympiakos	12	5	5	2	+8	20
5	Volos NFC	12	5	4	3	-1	19
6	Panetolikos	11	4	3	4	+1	15
7	OFI Crete	11	2	5	4	-3	11
8	Aris Thessalonikis	11	2	2	7	-5	8
9	Aris	11	2	2	7	-5	8
10	Atromitos	11	2	2	7	-6	8
11	Giannina	11	1	4	6	-9	7
12	Ionikos	12	2	1	9	-10	7
13	Asteras Tripolis	12	0	5	7	-16	5
14	Lamia	12	0	5	7	-21	5
15	Levadeiakos	11	0	3	8	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.