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Primeira Liga
Referee: João Ferreira
Portimonense
U T T U T
1–2
Full-time
Tondela
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
37%
26%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
37%
74%
Both score Ø 48%
32%
63%
Average goals
2,1
3,4
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portimonense 8. · Tondela 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 19 17 2 0 +38 53
2 Sp Lisbon 19 15 2 2 +23 47
3 Benfica 19 14 2 3 +36 44
4 Sp Braga 19 10 5 4 +14 35
5 Gil Vicente 19 8 6 5 +7 30
6 Guimaraes 19 7 6 6 +6 27
7 Estoril 19 6 7 6 +1 25
8 Portimonense 19 7 4 8 -1 25
9 Maritimo 19 6 6 7 -4 24
10 Santa Clara 19 5 5 9 -15 20
11 Boavista 19 3 10 6 -8 19
12 Pacos Ferreira 19 4 7 8 -9 19
13 Vizela 19 4 7 8 -13 19
14 Tondela 19 5 2 12 -13 17
15 Arouca 19 4 5 10 -17 17
16 Moreirense 19 3 7 9 -11 16
17 Famalicao 19 3 7 9 -12 16
18 Belenenses 19 2 6 11 -22 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Tondela
1–0 I. Angulo
W. Aponza
34′
42′
🟨 Rafael Barbosa
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Eduardo Quaresma
47′
🟨 Javier Avilés
Fahd Moufi 🟨
47′
Fabricio 🔁
↦ W. Aponza
58′
Filipe Relvas 🟥
59′
61′
🔁 J. Boselli
↦ Javier Avilés
Willyan Rocha 🟨
66′
Ewerton 🟨
68′
68′
🟨 Pedro Augusto
70′
🔁 Tiago Dantas
↦ Pedro Augusto
80′
Iker Undabarrena 1–1
Neto Borges
83′
🔁 Bebeto
↦ Tiago Almeida
83′
🔁 Telmo Arcanjo
↦ Rafael Barbosa
88′
J. Boselli 1–2
Salvador Agra
92′
🟨 Telmo Arcanjo
97′
🟨 Modibo Sagnan
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Portimonense

4-4-1-1
32 K. Nakamura G
18 F. Moufi D
4 Willyan D
22 Filipe Relvas D
26 Sana Gomes D
7 Ewerton M
70 I. Angulo M
6 Henrique Jocú M
39 W. Aponza F
10 S. Nakajima F
11 Anderson Oliveira M
Bench (6)
9 Fabricio
85 Bruno Reis
99 A. Marcus
93 Welinton Júnior
91 Renato Júnior
20 Luquinhas

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Tondela

4-2-3-1
88 Pedro Trigueira G
3 Neto Borges D
5 M. Sagnan D
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
19 Tiago Almeida D
21 Iker Undabarrena M
6 Pedro Augusto M
7 Salvador Agra M
70 Rafael Barbosa M
29 Daniel dos Anjos F
10 Javier Avilés M
Bench (9)
11 J. Boselli
28 Tiago Dantas
23 Bebeto
80 Telmo Arcanjo
24 N. Khacef
9 Rúben Fonseca
15 Manu Hernando
34 Ricardo Alves
99 B. Niasse

Coach: Pako Ayestarán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U
3,36
B ✓
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

João Ferreira · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.