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Conference League
Referee: B Frankowski
Sturm Graz
S U S S S
0–3
Full-time
Lille
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/8 matches
Win Ø 82%
100%
63%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
2,5
1,6
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,98 xG 2,88
32% Possession 68%
15 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Frankowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.