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Bundesliga
Referee: A Harkam
2–5
Full-time
St. Polten
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna St. Polten
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
34%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
55%
62%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,4
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 5. · St. Polten 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 29 19 8 2 +67 65
2 LASK 29 20 4 5 +36 64
3 SK Rapid 29 15 7 7 +20 52
4 Wolfsberger AC 29 13 8 8 +23 47
5 Austria Vienna 29 10 11 8 +3 41
6 Hartberg 29 11 5 13 -22 38
7 Altach 29 9 8 12 -6 35
8 Sturm Graz 29 10 5 14 -7 35
9 Mattersburg 29 7 6 16 -26 27
10 Tirol 29 6 7 16 -28 25
11 St. Polten 29 5 10 14 -34 25
12 Admira 29 5 9 15 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.