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Premiership

Referee: D Dickinson

Falkirk

S T S T S

1–0

Full-time

Dundee

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Falkirk Dundee

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 33%

40%

25%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

52%

46%

Both score Ø 41%

44%

38%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,01 xG 1,41

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Falkirk 6. · Dundee 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	26	17	6	3	+28	+12.5	57
2	Rangers	25	14	9	2	+24	+7.2	51
3	Celtic	24	15	3	6	+20	+10.2	48
4	Motherwell	24	11	10	3	+20	+9.3	43
5	Hibernian	26	10	9	7	+10	+1.8	39
6	Falkirk	25	10	6	9	-3	+3.8	36
7	Aberdeen	24	8	4	12	-7	-9.2	28
8	Dundee United	24	5	10	9	-10	-12.2	25
9	St Mirren	24	5	8	11	-13	+1.9	23
10	Dundee	24	6	5	13	-18	-7.2	23
11	Kilmarnock	25	3	8	14	-24	-9.4	17
12	Livingston	25	1	8	16	-27	-8.7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	13	9	4	0	+17	+5.5	31
2	Celtic	12	9	1	2	+19	+9.5	28
3	Rangers	13	8	4	1	+13	+9.6	28
4	Motherwell	12	8	3	1	+17	+9.6	27
5	Hibernian	13	6	5	2	+11	+5.2	23
6	Falkirk	12	4	5	3	+3	+4.9	17
7	St Mirren	13	4	5	4	-2	+4.3	17
8	Aberdeen	12	4	4	4	+4	-4.4	16
9	Dundee	11	5	1	5	-2	-1.0	16
10	Dundee United	12	3	4	5	-5	-6.5	13
11	Kilmarnock	12	2	3	7	-8	-1.2	9
12	Livingston	13	1	4	8	-9	-2.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	13	8	2	3	+11	+7.0	26
2	Rangers	12	6	5	1	+11	-2.4	23
3	Celtic	12	6	2	4	+1	+0.7	20
4	Falkirk	13	6	1	6	-6	-1.1	19
5	Motherwell	12	3	7	2	+3	-0.4	16
6	Hibernian	13	4	4	5	-1	-3.5	16
7	Dundee United	12	2	6	4	-5	-5.7	12
8	Aberdeen	12	4	0	8	-11	-4.7	12
9	Kilmarnock	13	1	5	7	-16	-8.2	8
10	Dundee	13	1	4	8	-16	-6.2	7
11	St Mirren	11	1	3	7	-11	-2.4	6
12	Livingston	12	0	4	8	-18	-5.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.