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Super League
Referee: S Koubarakis
AEK
T S S U S
1–2
Full-time
OFI Crete
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 47%
67%
27%
Points per game
2,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
3 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 2. · OFI Crete 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 16 14 2 0 +20 44
2 AEK 15 10 3 2 +13 33
3 PAOK 16 9 1 6 +10 28
4 Aris 15 8 3 4 +4 27
5 Giannina 16 7 4 5 +8 25
6 Aris Thessalonikis 14 7 3 4 +3 24
7 Panathinaikos 15 7 2 6 +12 23
8 OFI Crete 15 4 9 2 +2 21
9 Asteras Tripolis 16 4 5 7 -1 17
10 Ionikos 16 4 5 7 -6 17
11 Volos NFC 15 4 3 8 -6 15
12 Panetolikos 16 4 3 9 -15 15
13 Lamia 16 2 5 9 -8 11
14 Atromitos 16 2 3 11 -20 9
15 Apollon 13 1 5 7 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK OFI Crete
Karim Ansarifard 🟨
-5′
1–0 O. Vranješ
P. Mantalos
14′
15′
🟨 Miguel Mellado
Evgen Shakhov 🟨
17′
23′
L. Lamprou 1–1
N. Marinakis
Ognjen Vranješ 🟨
25′
Half-time 1–1
58′
🔁 B. Kamau
↦ J. de Guzmán
60′
B. Kamau 1–2
F. Gallegos
63′
🟨 Nikolaos Marinakis
65′
🔁 K. Tsilianidis
↦ L. Lamprou
65′
🔁 L. Castaignos
↦ M. van Duinen
D. Szymański 🔁
↦ André Simões
66′
K. Ansarifard 🔁
↦ P. Mantalos
66′
L. Rota 🔁
↦ C. Michelin
66′
L. Garcia 🔁
↦ Y. Shakhov
77′
77′
🔁 K. Giannoulis
↦ Jon Toral
82′
🟨 Praxitelis Vouros
D. Jevtić 🔁
↦ S. Zuber
84′
87′
🟨 Konstantinos Balogiannis
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 P. Tsintotas G
31 G. Tzavellas D
21 O. Vranješ D
19 C. Michelin D
7 N. Amrabat M
26 E. Hajsafi D
17 S. Zuber M
28 Y. Shakhov M
20 P. Mantalos M
8 André Simões M
11 S. Araújo F
Bench (9)
4 D. Szymański
10 K. Ansarifard
12 L. Rota
9 L. Garcia
88 D. Jevtić
6 D. Le Tallec
5 E. Svarnas
61 V. Chatziemmanouil
24 G. Mitoglou

Coach: A. Giannikis

OFI Crete

4-1-4-1
1 D. Epassy G
6 N. Marinakis D
14 P. Vouros D
4 T. Pasalidis D
33 J. de Guzmán M
29 M. Mellado M
21 Jon Toral M
38 K. Balogiannis M
16 F. Gallegos M
9 M. van Duinen F
7 L. Lamprou F
Bench (9)
11 B. Kamau
19 K. Tsilianidis
30 L. Castaignos
18 K. Giannoulis
24 B. Waterman
34 N. Korovesis
26 P. Staikos
20 A. Giannou
5 V. Selimović

Coach: N. Nioplias

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,35
U
4,84
B ✓
7,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Koubarakis · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
34,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.