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2. Bundesliga

Dresden

T T T S T

3–1

Full-time

Karlsruhe

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dresden Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

60%

73%

Both score Ø 53%

33%

73%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

19 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Dresden 14. · Karlsruhe 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	11	2	3	+17	35
2	Darmstadt	16	9	2	5	+18	29
3	Regensburg	15	8	4	3	+13	28
4	Paderborn	16	7	6	3	+12	27
5	Nurnberg	16	7	6	3	+7	27
6	Hamburg	15	6	8	1	+11	26
7	Schalke 04	16	8	2	6	+8	26
8	Heidenheim	15	7	3	5	-4	24
9	Werder Bremen	16	6	5	5	+3	23
10	Karlsruhe	15	5	6	4	+4	21
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	4	7	-1	19
12	Hansa Rostock	16	5	4	7	-7	19
13	Holstein Kiel	16	4	5	7	-10	17
14	Dresden	15	5	1	9	-5	16
15	Erzgebirge Aue	16	3	5	8	-12	14
16	Hannover	15	3	5	7	-12	14
17	Sandhausen	16	3	4	9	-17	13
18	Ingolstadt	16	1	4	11	-25	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	8	8	0	0	+19	24
2	Darmstadt	8	6	0	2	+15	18
3	Regensburg	8	5	2	1	+10	17
4	Nurnberg	9	5	2	2	+7	17
5	Heidenheim	8	4	3	1	+2	15
6	Hamburg	8	3	5	0	+7	14
7	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+6	13
8	Werder Bremen	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+4	12
10	Dresden	7	4	0	3	+4	12
11	Holstein Kiel	8	3	1	4	-6	10
12	Paderborn	8	2	3	3	+0	9
13	Hannover	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Erzgebirge Aue	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Hansa Rostock	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Ingolstadt	7	0	3	4	-8	3
18	Sandhausen	8	0	3	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	8	5	3	0	+12	18
2	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+2	13
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	1	4	+0	13
4	Hamburg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Darmstadt	8	3	2	3	+3	11
6	Regensburg	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	St Pauli	8	3	2	3	-2	11
8	Werder Bremen	8	3	2	3	-2	11
9	Hansa Rostock	8	3	2	3	-2	11
10	Nurnberg	7	2	4	1	+0	10
11	Sandhausen	8	3	1	4	-5	10
12	Karlsruhe	7	2	3	2	+0	9
13	Heidenheim	7	3	0	4	-6	9
14	Holstein Kiel	8	1	4	3	-4	7
15	Erzgebirge Aue	8	1	3	4	-8	6
16	Hannover	8	1	3	4	-9	6
17	Dresden	8	1	1	6	-9	4
18	Ingolstadt	9	1	1	7	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.