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Primeira Liga

Referee: Gustavo Correia

Sp Braga

U S S T S

2–0

Full-time

Estoril

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

50%

42%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

58%

42%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 19

6 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 4. · Estoril 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	13	11	2	0	+25	35
2	Sp Lisbon	13	11	2	0	+17	35
3	Benfica	13	10	1	2	+25	31
4	Sp Braga	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	Estoril	12	5	6	1	+7	21
6	Portimonense	13	6	2	5	+1	20
7	Guimaraes	13	5	4	4	+3	19
8	Gil Vicente	13	4	5	4	+4	17
9	Arouca	13	3	4	6	-6	13
10	Tondela	12	4	0	8	-6	12
11	Boavista	13	2	6	5	-7	12
12	Maritimo	13	2	5	6	-5	11
13	Pacos Ferreira	13	2	5	6	-8	11
14	Famalicao	13	2	4	7	-8	10
15	Vizela	12	1	7	4	-10	10
16	Santa Clara	13	2	4	7	-15	10
17	Moreirense	12	1	6	5	-8	9
18	Belenenses	12	1	5	6	-15	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Porto	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Benfica	6	4	0	2	+7	12
4	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+7	11
5	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Boavista	7	2	4	1	+2	10
7	Arouca	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Tondela	6	3	0	3	+0	9
9	Gil Vicente	7	2	2	3	+3	8
10	Santa Clara	7	2	2	3	-8	8
11	Estoril	6	1	4	1	+0	7
12	Vizela	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Portimonense	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Moreirense	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Maritimo	6	1	3	2	-1	6
16	Pacos Ferreira	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Belenenses	6	1	2	3	-9	5
18	Famalicao	6	0	3	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Porto	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+7	16
4	Estoril	6	4	2	0	+7	14
5	Portimonense	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	-1	11
7	Gil Vicente	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Guimaraes	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Famalicao	7	2	1	4	-3	7
10	Maritimo	7	1	2	4	-4	5
11	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Tondela	6	1	0	5	-6	3
13	Belenenses	6	0	3	3	-6	3
14	Arouca	7	0	3	4	-7	3
15	Moreirense	6	0	3	3	-7	3
16	Vizela	6	0	3	3	-10	3
17	Santa Clara	6	0	2	4	-7	2
18	Boavista	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.